Austria Bundesliga
Sturm GrazHomeWWDLD
Sun 8 Nov
Red Bull SalzburgAwayWDWWW322345
Sturm Graz winDrawRed Bull Salzburg win
Sturm GrazHomeWWDLDRed Bull SalzburgAwayWDWWW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.55 1.60 : 1.95
- Favourite
- 46% Red Bull Salzburg
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 69% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.06 | 3.92 | 2.05 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.35 | 2.94 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.06 | 3.92 | 2.05 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.35 | 2.94 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.06 | 1.36 | 2.92 | 1.34 | 2.86 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.06 | 3.92 | 2.05 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.35 | 2.94 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.06 | 3.92 | 2.05 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.35 | 2.94 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.05 | 4.00 | 2.02 | - | - | 1.35 | 2.85 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Red Bull Salzburg to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg are 3.06 for Sturm Graz at 1xBet, 4.00 for the draw at Stake and 2.06 for Red Bull Salzburg at BC.Game.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.36 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.92 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.35 (Stake) and no 2.94 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
77%
Our prediction
Sturm Graz or Red Bull Salzburg (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.36
BTTSBoth teams to score
69% chance1.35
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Red Bull Salzburg, full-time Red Bull Salzburg
29% chance3.47fair
First halfFirst-half goal
80% chance1.25fair
Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg head to head
0Sturm Graz wins
0Draws
1Red Bull Salzburg wins
- 20 Sep 26Red Bull Salzburg3:0Sturm Graz
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Sturm Graz scored 0, Red Bull Salzburg scored 3.
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction
Our Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction and pick
Sturm Graz host Red Bull Salzburg on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Austria Bundesliga, and the model has Red Bull Salzburg at 46%, the draw at 23% and Sturm Graz at 32%: that is the Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction in one line.
Sturm Graz are expected to score 1.60 and Red Bull Salzburg 1.95, so the total line is 3.55 goals; over 2.5 lands at 68% and BTTS at 69%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is sturm Graz or Red Bull Salzburg (no draw) at 77%. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Sturm Graz have won 2 of their last 5 with 12 scored and 7 conceded, Red Bull Salzburg 4 of 5 scoring 16 and conceding 6.
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg reads 87% for over 1.5, 68% for over 2.5 and 47% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 32%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; BC.Game pay 1.36.
Both teams to score is 69%: Sturm Graz find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Red Bull Salzburg in 86%. Sturm Graz keep a clean sheet 14% of the time and Red Bull Salzburg 20%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Red Bull Salzburg, full-time Red Bull Salzburg leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 32% / 23% / 46% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sturm Graz to win32%3.06
Draw23%4.00
Red Bull Salzburg to win46%2.06
Sturm Graz, draw no bet41%fair 2.44
Red Bull Salzburg, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw55%1.73
Red Bull Salzburg or draw68%1.35
Sturm Graz or Red Bull Salzburg (no draw)77%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.36
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.11
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 2.5 goals32%2.92
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.90
BTTS
Both teams to score69%1.35
Not both teams to score31%2.94
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.11
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17
Team goals
Sturm Graz to score80%fair 1.25
Red Bull Salzburg to score86%fair 1.17
Sturm Graz clean sheet14%fair 7.04
Red Bull Salzburg clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Sturm Graz to win to nil13%fair 7.63
Red Bull Salzburg to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19%
1-28.7%
2-17.2%
2-27%
1-35.7%
0-15.6%
Half-time / full-time
Red Bull Salzburg / Red Bull Salzburg28.8%
Sturm Graz / Sturm Graz19%
Draw / Red Bull Salzburg13.9%
Draw / Draw10.9%
Draw / Sturm Graz10.3%
Questions about Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg
Who is favourite in Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The model gives Red Bull Salzburg the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 23%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 68%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The BTTS yes line is rated 69%. Sturm Graz find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Red Bull Salzburg in 86%.
When is Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg and where is the result shown?
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg starts at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.