Austria Bundesliga
Sturm GrazHomeWWDLD
6:1Half-time 3:1
Grazer AKAwayDLDLL522523
Sturm Graz winDrawGrazer AK win
Sturm GrazHomeWWDLDGrazer AKAwayDLDLL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.93 1.79 : 1.14
- Favourite
- 52% Sturm Graz
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.72 | 4.08 | 1.67 | 2.13 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sturm Graz to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK are 1.80 for Sturm Graz at 1xBet, 3.72 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.08 for Grazer AK at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.67 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.13 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (1xBet) and no 2.18 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
52%
Our prediction
Sturm Graz to win
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw
77% chance1.21
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sturm Graz, full-time Sturm Graz
33% chance3.05fair
Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK prediction
Our Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK prediction and pick
Sturm Graz host Grazer AK on Sunday, 18 October 2026 in the Austria Bundesliga, and the model has Sturm Graz at 52%, the draw at 25% and Grazer AK at 23%: that is the Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.79 for Sturm Graz and 1.14 for Grazer AK, a total of 2.93, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Sturm Graz to win is the main selection, rated 52%. At 1.80 with 1xBet the market prices it at 56%, against 52% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, sturm Graz or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.21.
Sturm Graz average 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Grazer AK 0.4 and 3.0 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 66%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.67 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 58%. Sturm Graz score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Grazer AK; Grazer AK score in 68% while Sturm Graz shut them out 32% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: 1-1 (10.9%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.6%).
With the top scoreline at 10.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sturm Graz, full-time Sturm Graz leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK
The grid built from 1.79 and 1.14 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Sturm Graz to win52%1.80
Draw25%3.72
Grazer AK to win23%4.08
Sturm Graz, draw no bet69%fair 1.44
Grazer AK, draw no bet31%fair 3.27
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw77%1.21
Grazer AK or draw48%1.95
Sturm Graz or Grazer AK (no draw)75%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.67
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.97
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 2.5 goals45%2.13
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.61
Not both teams to score42%2.18
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.63
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Sturm Graz to score83%fair 1.20
Grazer AK to score68%fair 1.47
Sturm Graz clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Grazer AK clean sheet17%fair 5.99
Sturm Graz to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Grazer AK to win to nil15%fair 6.49
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.9%
2-19.8%
1-09.6%
2-08.6%
1-26.2%
0-16.1%
Half-time / full-time
Sturm Graz / Sturm Graz32.8%
Draw / Sturm Graz16.8%
Grazer AK / Grazer AK13.6%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Grazer AK8.9%
Questions about Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK
Who is favourite in Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
The model gives Sturm Graz the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Sturm Graz find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Grazer AK in 68%.
When do Sturm Graz play Grazer AK?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.