Austria Bundesliga
Sturm GrazHomeWWDLD
2:2Half-time 1:1
RiedAwayWWDLD582121
Sturm Graz winDrawRied win
Sturm GrazHomeWWDLDRiedAwayWWDLD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.47 2.21 : 1.26
- Favourite
- 58% Sturm Graz
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Sturm Graz vs Ried betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.20 | 4.50 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.48 | 2.47 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.60 | 4.57 | 5.08 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.51 | 2.52 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.53 | 4.60 | 5.20 | 1.43 | 2.68 | 1.53 | 2.34 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.58 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.51 | 2.52 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.58 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.51 | 2.52 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.54 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 1.41 | 2.80 | 1.51 | 2.38 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sturm Graz to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sturm Graz vs Ried are 1.64 for Sturm Graz at 1xBet, 4.60 for the draw at Stake and 5.20 for Ried at BC.Game.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.44 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.80 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.53 (BC.Game) and no 2.52 (Betwinner).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
58%
Our prediction
Sturm Graz to win
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw
79% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.44
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.42fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sturm Graz, full-time Sturm Graz
38% chance2.60fair
Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction
Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction and best bet
Sturm Graz are a narrow favourite in the Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction, rated 58% to win this Austria Bundesliga match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Ried sit at 21% and the draw at 21%.
Sturm Graz are expected to score 2.21 and Ried 1.26, so the total line is 3.47 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Sturm Graz vs Ried is sturm Graz to win, a 58% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.64. That price implies 61%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Sturm Graz or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.19.
With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches Sturm Graz stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Ried show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Sturm Graz vs Ried over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 33% and under 3.5 54%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 67%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.44 at Betwinner.
Both teams to score is 64%: Sturm Graz find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Ried in 72%. Sturm Graz keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Ried 11%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.6%, then 1-1 at 8.7% and 2-0 at 7.6%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sturm Graz, full-time Sturm Graz leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Sturm Graz vs Ried
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sturm Graz vs Ried, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Sturm Graz to win58%1.64
Draw21%4.60
Ried to win21%5.20
Sturm Graz, draw no bet74%fair 1.36
Ried, draw no bet26%fair 3.82
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw79%1.19
Ried or draw42%2.44
Sturm Graz or Ried (no draw)79%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.44
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.19
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.19
Under 2.5 goals33%2.80
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.84
BTTS
Both teams to score64%1.53
Not both teams to score36%2.52
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.16
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17
Team goals
Sturm Graz to score89%fair 1.12
Ried to score72%fair 1.40
Sturm Graz clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Ried clean sheet11%fair 9.09
Sturm Graz to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Ried to win to nil10%fair 9.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.6%
1-18.7%
2-07.6%
3-17.1%
1-06.9%
2-26%
Half-time / full-time
Sturm Graz / Sturm Graz38.4%
Draw / Sturm Graz16.8%
Ried / Ried12%
Draw / Draw10.5%
Draw / Ried7.3%
Questions about Sturm Graz vs Ried
Sturm Graz or Ried: which side does the model back?
The model gives Sturm Graz the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Sturm Graz vs Ried correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Sturm Graz vs Ried both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Sturm Graz find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Ried in 72%.
When do Sturm Graz play Ried?
Sturm Graz vs Ried starts at 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.