Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix prediction

Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix prediction and best bet

Auckland are marginally ahead in the Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix prediction, rated 45% to win this A-League match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Wellington Phoenix sit at 30% and the draw at 26%.

Expected goals are 1.57 for Auckland and 1.25 for Wellington Phoenix, a total of 2.82, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Auckland or Wellington Phoenix (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. At 1.31 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 75% from the model.

Over the last 3 matches Auckland stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Wellington Phoenix show 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 3.

How many goals in Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix reads 77% for over 1.5, 53% for over 2.5 and 31% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 47%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.85.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. Auckland score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Wellington Phoenix; Wellington Phoenix score in 71% while Auckland shut them out 29% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix: 1-1 (11.7%), 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Auckland, full-time Auckland leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.