A-League
Newcastle JetsHomeLDDLL
0:3Half-time 0:1
Wellington PhoenixAwayWWW442531
Newcastle Jets winDrawWellington Phoenix win
Newcastle JetsHomeLDDLLWellington PhoenixAwayWWW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.21 1.76 : 1.45
- Favourite
- 44% Newcastle Jets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 65% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.90 | 3.07 | 1.53 | 2.44 | 1.44 | 2.58 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.59 | 3.72 | 2.50 | 1.58 | 2.39 | 1.50 | 2.61 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.60 | 3.70 | 2.38 | 1.52 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.58 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.59 | 3.72 | 2.50 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.48 | 2.68 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.59 | 3.72 | 2.50 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.48 | 2.68 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.70 | 3.75 | 2.37 | 1.52 | 2.43 | 1.47 | 2.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Newcastle Jets to win partner prices
Stake pay the best Newcastle Jets price at 2.70, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.90 and 1xBet have Wellington Phoenix longest at 3.07.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 105%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.58 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.44 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (22Bet) and no 2.68 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
75%
Our prediction
Newcastle Jets or Wellington Phoenix (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.58
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Newcastle Jets, full-time Newcastle Jets
28% chance3.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.31fair
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction and best bet
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction for the A-League on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Newcastle Jets marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 25% and Wellington Phoenix at 31%.
Expected goals are 1.76 for Newcastle Jets and 1.45 for Wellington Phoenix, a total of 3.21, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Newcastle Jets or Wellington Phoenix (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix.
Form check: Newcastle Jets have won 0 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 14 conceded, Wellington Phoenix 3 of 3 scoring 7 and conceding 1.
Goals forecast for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix reads 83% for over 1.5, 62% for over 2.5 and 40% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 38%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; Melbet pay 1.58.
BTTS yes stands at 65%. Newcastle Jets score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Wellington Phoenix; Wellington Phoenix score in 77% while Newcastle Jets shut them out 24% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.3%, then 2-1 at 9.1% and 1-2 at 7.5%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Newcastle Jets, full-time Newcastle Jets leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 44% / 25% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Newcastle Jets to win44%2.70
Draw25%3.90
Wellington Phoenix to win31%3.07
Newcastle Jets, draw no bet59%fair 1.70
Wellington Phoenix, draw no bet41%fair 2.43
Double chance
Newcastle Jets or draw69%1.57
Wellington Phoenix or draw56%1.72
Newcastle Jets or Wellington Phoenix (no draw)75%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.58
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.50
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 2.5 goals38%2.44
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
BTTS
Both teams to score65%1.50
Not both teams to score35%2.68
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.36
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Newcastle Jets to score83%fair 1.21
Wellington Phoenix to score77%fair 1.31
Newcastle Jets clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Wellington Phoenix clean sheet17%fair 5.81
Newcastle Jets to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Wellington Phoenix to win to nil16%fair 6.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.3%
2-19.1%
1-27.5%
1-07.1%
2-26.6%
2-06.3%
Half-time / full-time
Newcastle Jets / Newcastle Jets27.7%
Wellington Phoenix / Wellington Phoenix18.7%
Draw / Newcastle Jets14.3%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / Wellington Phoenix10.8%
Questions about Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
Who is favourite in Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
The model gives Newcastle Jets the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Newcastle Jets find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Wellington Phoenix in 77%.
When is Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 04:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.