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Live 12 UTC
A-League Round 4 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
MacarthurHomeWDL
Sun 8 Nov
Brisbane RoarAwayWD
402535
Macarthur winDrawBrisbane Roar win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.89
1.50 : 1.39
Favourite
40%
Macarthur
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.423.672.851.772.131.572.26Bet
22Bet2.383.602.811.742.101.572.26Bet
BC.Game2.363.552.701.702.061.562.22Bet
Betwinner2.383.602.811.742.101.572.26Bet
Melbet2.383.602.811.742.101.572.26Bet
Stake2.223.552.951.672.081.582.19Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Macarthur to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Macarthur price at 2.42, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.67 and Stake have Brisbane Roar longest at 2.95.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.77 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.13 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.58 (Stake) and no 2.26 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Macarthur or Brisbane Roar (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.50 : 1.39-1.9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.77
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Macarthur, full-time Macarthur
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair

Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar prediction

Our Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar prediction and pick

The Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. A-League on Sunday, 8 November 2026 gives Macarthur a 40% chance, Brisbane Roar 35% and the draw 25%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Macarthur are expected to score 1.50 and Brisbane Roar 1.39, so the total line is 2.89 goals; over 2.5 lands at 55% and BTTS at 60%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar is macarthur or Brisbane Roar (no draw), a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

How many goals in Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar reads 78% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.77 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 60%: Macarthur find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Brisbane Roar in 75%. Macarthur keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Brisbane Roar 22%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%, followed by 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.3%).

With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Macarthur, full-time Macarthur leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Macarthur to win40%2.42
Draw25%3.67
Brisbane Roar to win35%2.95
Macarthur, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Brisbane Roar, draw no bet46%fair 2.16

Double chance

Macarthur or draw65%1.46
Brisbane Roar or draw60%1.61
Macarthur or Brisbane Roar (no draw)75%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.77
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals45%2.13
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.58
Not both teams to score41%2.26

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Macarthur to score78%fair 1.29
Brisbane Roar to score75%fair 1.33
Macarthur clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Brisbane Roar clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Macarthur to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Brisbane Roar to win to nil21%fair 4.88

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
2-18.7%
1-08.3%
1-28.1%
0-17.7%
2-06.3%

Half-time / full-time

Macarthur / Macarthur23.9%
Brisbane Roar / Brisbane Roar20.6%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Draw / Macarthur13.6%
Draw / Brisbane Roar12.2%

Questions about Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar

Who is favourite in Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?

The model gives Macarthur the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Macarthur find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Brisbane Roar in 75%.

When is Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar and where is the result shown?

Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar starts at 04:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Macarthur v Brisbane RoarMacarthur or Brisbane Roar (no draw), 75%
1.31Bet