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A-League Round 4 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
SydneyHomeDWL
Fri 6 Nov
Central Coast MarinersAwayDLD
672013
Sydney winDrawCentral Coast Mariners win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
3.05
2.16 : 0.89
Favourite
67%
Sydney
Over 2.5 goals
58%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.504.576.531.672.291.741.98Bet
22Bet1.484.486.401.642.261.741.98Bet
BC.Game1.474.406.001.602.221.701.98Bet
Betwinner1.484.486.401.642.261.741.98Bet
Melbet1.484.486.401.642.261.741.98Bet
Stake1.484.505.801.552.301.692.00Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sydney to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners are 1.50 for Sydney at 1xBet, 4.57 for the draw at 1xBet and 6.53 for Central Coast Mariners at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.67 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.30 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (22Bet) and no 2.00 (Stake).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

67%

Our prediction

Sydney to win
BankerExpected goals 2.16 : 0.89-0.1% against the best price
Double chanceSydney or draw
86% chance1.13
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sydney, full-time Sydney
44% chance2.28fair

Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners prediction

Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners prediction, who wins and at what price

Sydney host Central Coast Mariners on Friday, 6 November 2026 in the A-League, and the model has Sydney at 67%, the draw at 20% and Central Coast Mariners at 14%: that is the Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners prediction in one line.

Sydney are expected to score 2.16 and Central Coast Mariners 0.89, so the total line is 3.05 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 54%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners is sydney to win, a 67% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.50 at 1xBet, which implies 67%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.

For a safer line, sydney or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.13.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Sydney average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 3, Central Coast Mariners 1.0 and 1.7 across 3.

How many goals in Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.67 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 54%: Sydney find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Central Coast Mariners in 59%. Sydney keep a clean sheet 41% of the time and Central Coast Mariners 12%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 11%, followed by 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sydney, full-time Sydney is the top combination at 44%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

All markets, Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners

The grid built from 2.16 and 0.89 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Sydney to win67%1.50
Draw20%4.57
Central Coast Mariners to win14%6.53
Sydney, draw no bet83%fair 1.21
Central Coast Mariners, draw no bet17%fair 5.85

Double chance

Sydney or draw86%1.13
Central Coast Mariners or draw33%2.69
Sydney or Central Coast Mariners (no draw)80%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.67
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.75
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.21
Under 2.5 goals42%2.30
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.57

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.74
Not both teams to score46%2.00

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.51
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

Sydney to score89%fair 1.13
Central Coast Mariners to score59%fair 1.70
Sydney clean sheet41%fair 2.43
Central Coast Mariners clean sheet12%fair 8.70
Sydney to win to nil38%fair 2.65
Central Coast Mariners to win to nil11%fair 9.43

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-011%
1-010.2%
2-19.8%
1-19.1%
3-08%
3-17.1%

Half-time / full-time

Sydney / Sydney43.9%
Draw / Sydney19.4%
Draw / Draw11.3%
Central Coast Mariners / Central Coast Mariners7.8%
Draw / Central Coast Mariners5.5%

Questions about Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners

Who will win Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners?

The model gives Sydney the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Sydney find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Central Coast Mariners in 59%.

When do Sydney play Central Coast Mariners?

Kick-off is 08:40 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sydney v Central Coast MarinersSydney to win, 67%
1.50Bet