A-League
Wellington PhoenixHomeWWW
2:0Half-time 0:0
Central Coast MarinersAwayDLD552421
Wellington Phoenix winDrawCentral Coast Mariners win
Wellington PhoenixHomeWWWCentral Coast MarinersAwayDLD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.00 1.88 : 1.12
- Favourite
- 55% Wellington Phoenix
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.90 | 4.30 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Wellington Phoenix to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction: Wellington Phoenix 1.83 (1xBet), draw 3.90 (1xBet), Central Coast Mariners 4.30 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.22 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (1xBet) and no 2.18 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
55%
Our prediction
Wellington Phoenix to win
Double chanceWellington Phoenix or draw
78% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.70
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Wellington Phoenix, full-time Wellington Phoenix
35% chance2.87fair
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction, who wins and at what price
Wellington Phoenix host Central Coast Mariners on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the A-League, and the model has Wellington Phoenix at 55%, the draw at 24% and Central Coast Mariners at 22%: that is the Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction in one line.
Wellington Phoenix are expected to score 1.88 and Central Coast Mariners 1.12, so the total line is 3.00 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is wellington Phoenix to win at 55%. The best price in our comparison is 1.83 at 1xBet, which implies 55%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
Wellington Phoenix or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.25.
Over the last 3 matches Wellington Phoenix stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Central Coast Mariners show 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 3.
How many goals in Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Wellington Phoenix scoring in 85% of runs and Central Coast Mariners in 67%; clean sheets come at 33% for Wellington Phoenix and 15% for Central Coast Mariners.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%, followed by 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.4%).
With the top scoreline at 10.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Wellington Phoenix, full-time Wellington Phoenix leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 55% / 24% / 22% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Wellington Phoenix to win55%1.83
Draw24%3.90
Central Coast Mariners to win22%4.30
Wellington Phoenix, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Central Coast Mariners, draw no bet28%fair 3.53
Double chance
Wellington Phoenix or draw78%1.25
Central Coast Mariners or draw45%2.05
Wellington Phoenix or Central Coast Mariners (no draw)76%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.70
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%2.22
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.61
Not both teams to score42%2.18
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Wellington Phoenix to score85%fair 1.18
Central Coast Mariners to score67%fair 1.48
Wellington Phoenix clean sheet33%fair 3.07
Central Coast Mariners clean sheet15%fair 6.54
Wellington Phoenix to win to nil30%fair 3.33
Central Coast Mariners to win to nil14%fair 7.14
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.5%
2-19.9%
1-09.4%
2-08.8%
3-16.2%
1-25.9%
Half-time / full-time
Wellington Phoenix / Wellington Phoenix34.8%
Draw / Wellington Phoenix17.2%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Central Coast Mariners / Central Coast Mariners12.6%
Draw / Central Coast Mariners8.2%
Questions about Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners
Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?
The model gives Wellington Phoenix the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Wellington Phoenix find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Central Coast Mariners in 67%.
When do Wellington Phoenix play Central Coast Mariners?
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners starts at 02:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.