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Live 31 UTC
A-League Round 4 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Perth GloryHomeLLW
Sat 7 Nov
Newcastle JetsAwayLDDLL
362539
Perth Glory winDrawNewcastle Jets win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.27
1.60 : 1.67
Favourite
39%
Newcastle Jets
Over 2.5 goals
64%
model chance
Both teams to score
66%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.873.822.351.542.421.442.58Bet
22Bet2.603.742.501.502.531.412.69Bet
BC.Game2.503.702.441.482.501.402.64Bet
Betwinner2.603.742.501.502.531.412.69Bet
Melbet2.603.742.501.502.531.412.69Bet
Stake2.653.702.361.472.501.432.55Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Newcastle Jets to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets prediction: Perth Glory 2.87 (1xBet), draw 3.82 (1xBet), Newcastle Jets 2.50 (22Bet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.54 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.53 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.44 (1xBet) and no 2.69 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Perth Glory or Newcastle Jets (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.60 : 1.67-2.7% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.54
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.44
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Newcastle Jets, full-time Newcastle Jets
24% chance4.13fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.30fair

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets prediction

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets prediction for Saturday, 7 November 2026: 36% home, 25% draw and 39% away in the A-League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 3.27 in total, split 1.60 to Perth Glory and 1.67 to Newcastle Jets. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 66%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Perth Glory or Newcastle Jets (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Perth Glory average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across their last 3, Newcastle Jets 1.2 and 2.8 across 5.

Goals forecast for Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 64%, over 3.5 at 41%; under 2.5 is 37% and under 3.5 is 59%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; 1xBet pay 1.54.

BTTS yes stands at 66%. Perth Glory score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Newcastle Jets; Newcastle Jets score in 81% while Perth Glory shut them out 19% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets: 1-1 (10.2%), 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.1%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Newcastle Jets, full-time Newcastle Jets leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 25% / 39% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Perth Glory to win36%2.87
Draw25%3.82
Newcastle Jets to win39%2.50
Perth Glory, draw no bet48%fair 2.08
Newcastle Jets, draw no bet52%fair 1.93

Double chance

Perth Glory or draw61%1.64
Newcastle Jets or draw64%1.50
Perth Glory or Newcastle Jets (no draw)75%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals64%1.54
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.42
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 2.5 goals37%2.53
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.70

BTTS

Both teams to score66%1.44
Not both teams to score35%2.69

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.31
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

Perth Glory to score80%fair 1.25
Newcastle Jets to score81%fair 1.23
Perth Glory clean sheet19%fair 5.32
Newcastle Jets clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Perth Glory to win to nil17%fair 5.78
Newcastle Jets to win to nil19%fair 5.38

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
1-28.5%
2-18.1%
2-26.8%
0-16.3%
1-06.1%

Half-time / full-time

Newcastle Jets / Newcastle Jets24.2%
Perth Glory / Perth Glory22.1%
Draw / Newcastle Jets12.9%
Draw / Draw12.2%
Draw / Perth Glory12.1%

Questions about Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets

Perth Glory or Newcastle Jets: which side does the model back?

The model gives Newcastle Jets the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 64%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Perth Glory find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Newcastle Jets in 81%.

When do Perth Glory play Newcastle Jets?

Kick-off is 10:45 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Perth Glory v Newcastle JetsPerth Glory or Newcastle Jets (no draw), 75%
1.29Bet