A-League
AucklandHomeWLD
3:1Half-time 1:1
Melbourne CityAwayLDW392833
Auckland winDrawMelbourne City win
AucklandHomeWLDMelbourne CityAwayLDW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.66 1.39 : 1.27
- Favourite
- 39% Auckland
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Auckland vs Melbourne City betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.49 | 3.50 | 2.86 | 1.97 | 1.89 | 1.70 | 2.04 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Auckland to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Auckland vs Melbourne City are 2.49 for Auckland at 1xBet, 3.50 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.86 for Melbourne City at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.89 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (1xBet) and no 2.04 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Auckland or Melbourne City (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Auckland, full-time Auckland
24% chance4.26fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair
Auckland vs Melbourne City prediction
Our Auckland vs Melbourne City prediction and pick
The Auckland vs Melbourne City prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. A-League on Saturday, 17 October 2026 gives Auckland a 39% chance, Melbourne City 33% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Auckland are expected to score 1.39 and Melbourne City 1.27, so the total line is 2.66 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Auckland or Melbourne City (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.33 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 72% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 3 matches Auckland stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Melbourne City show 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 3.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Auckland vs Melbourne City
On the goal lines Auckland vs Melbourne City reads 74% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.89.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Auckland scoring in 75% of runs and Melbourne City in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Auckland and 25% for Melbourne City.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%, followed by 1-0 (9.7%) and 0-1 (8.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Auckland, full-time Auckland is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
All markets, Auckland vs Melbourne City
The grid built from 1.39 and 1.27 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Auckland to win39%2.49
Draw28%3.50
Melbourne City to win33%2.86
Auckland, draw no bet54%fair 1.87
Melbourne City, draw no bet46%fair 2.16
Double chance
Auckland or draw67%1.45
Melbourne City or draw62%1.57
Auckland or Melbourne City (no draw)72%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.97
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%1.89
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.70
Not both teams to score45%2.04
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Auckland to score75%fair 1.33
Melbourne City to score72%fair 1.39
Auckland clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Melbourne City clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Auckland to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Melbourne City to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-09.7%
0-18.9%
2-18.6%
1-27.8%
0-07%
Half-time / full-time
Auckland / Auckland23.5%
Melbourne City / Melbourne City19.8%
Draw / Draw15.7%
Draw / Auckland14%
Draw / Melbourne City12.4%
Questions about Auckland vs Melbourne City
Who is favourite in Auckland vs Melbourne City?
The model gives Auckland the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Auckland vs Melbourne City correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Auckland vs Melbourne City?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Auckland find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Melbourne City in 72%.
What time does Auckland vs Melbourne City kick off?
Kick-off is 04:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.