CAF Confederation Cup
1º de AgostoHomeDWWLD
1:0Half-time 0:0
VirungaAwayLL452728
1º de Agosto winDrawVirunga win
1º de AgostoHomeDWWLDVirungaAwayLL- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.41 1.38 : 1.03
- Favourite
- 45% 1º de Agosto
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for 1º de Agosto vs Virunga
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
73%
Our prediction
1º de Agosto or Virunga (no draw)
1.37fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.75fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.92fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.44fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time 1º de Agosto, full-time 1º de Agosto
27% chance3.75fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.51fair
1º de Agosto v Virunga head to head
11º de Agosto wins
0Draws
0Virunga wins
- 18 Oct 26Virunga1:21º de Agosto
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: 1º de Agosto scored 2, Virunga scored 1.
1º de Agosto vs Virunga prediction
Our 1º de Agosto vs Virunga prediction and pick
1º de Agosto host Virunga on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the CAF Confederation Cup, and the model has 1º de Agosto at 45%, the draw at 27% and Virunga at 28%: that is the 1º de Agosto vs Virunga prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.38 for 1º de Agosto and 1.03 for Virunga, a total of 2.41, which puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 48%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
1º de Agosto or Virunga (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
A low-scoring 1º de Agosto vs Virunga? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 57% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 43%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%.
BTTS yes stands at 48%. 1º de Agosto score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for Virunga; Virunga score in 64% while 1º de Agosto shut them out 36% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for 1º de Agosto vs Virunga: 1-1 (12.8%), 1-0 (12.4%) and 0-1 (9.3%).
With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for 1º de Agosto vs Virunga; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time 1º de Agosto, full-time 1º de Agosto leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for 1º de Agosto vs Virunga
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 45% / 27% / 28% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
1º de Agosto to win45%fair 2.24
Draw27%fair 3.68
Virunga to win28%fair 3.56
1º de Agosto, draw no bet61%fair 1.63
Virunga, draw no bet39%fair 2.59
Double chance
1º de Agosto or draw72%fair 1.39
Virunga or draw55%fair 1.81
1º de Agosto or Virunga (no draw)73%fair 1.37
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%fair 2.33
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.31
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Under 2.5 goals57%fair 1.75
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29
BTTS
Both teams to score48%fair 2.08
Not both teams to score52%fair 1.92
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.39
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36
Team goals
1º de Agosto to score75%fair 1.34
Virunga to score64%fair 1.56
1º de Agosto clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Virunga clean sheet25%fair 3.97
1º de Agosto to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Virunga to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
1-012.4%
0-19.3%
0-09%
2-18.8%
2-08.6%
Half-time / full-time
1º de Agosto / 1º de Agosto26.7%
Draw / Draw17.4%
Draw / 1º de Agosto16%
Virunga / Virunga15.7%
Draw / Virunga10.8%
Questions about 1º de Agosto vs Virunga
Who is favourite in 1º de Agosto vs Virunga?
The model gives 1º de Agosto the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for 1º de Agosto vs Virunga?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in 1º de Agosto vs Virunga?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. 1º de Agosto find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Virunga in 64%.
When do 1º de Agosto play Virunga?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.