ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars prediction

ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars prediction, who wins and at what price

ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars prediction for the Zambia Super League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes ZESCO United marginally ahead at 48%, with the draw at 29% and Mutondo Stars at 24%.

The goal expectancy is 2.13 in total, split 1.30 to ZESCO United and 0.83 to Mutondo Stars. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 36% and both teams to score 41%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is zESCO United or draw at 76%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

ZESCO United average 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded across their last 5, Mutondo Stars 0.8 and 3.0 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 63%, over 2.5 at 36%, over 3.5 at 17%; under 2.5 is 64% and under 3.5 is 83%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%.

BTTS yes stands at 41%. ZESCO United score in 73% of simulations against a 27% clean sheet for Mutondo Stars; Mutondo Stars score in 56% while ZESCO United shut them out 44% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 15.4%, then 1-1 at 12.8% and 0-0 at 11.9%.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time ZESCO United, full-time ZESCO United leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 62%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.