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Live 35 UTC
Zambia Super League Round 6 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
NkwaziHomeLDDDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
ZESCO UnitedAwayLDWWD
213247
Nkwazi winDrawZESCO United win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
1.87
0.69 : 1.18
Favourite
48%
ZESCO United
Over 2.5 goals
29%
model chance
Both teams to score
35%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Best odds for Nkwazi vs ZESCO United

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.332.881.892.881.322.461.46Bet
BC.Game4.302.841.95----Bet
Betwinner4.272.922.032.971.372.771.41Bet
Melbet4.272.922.032.971.372.771.41Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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ZESCO United to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Nkwazi vs ZESCO United prediction: Nkwazi 4.33 (1xBet), draw 2.92 (Melbet), ZESCO United 2.03 (Melbet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.97 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.37 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.77 (Melbet) and no 1.46 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

79%

Our prediction

ZESCO United or draw
StrongExpected goals 0.69 : 1.18-5.2% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.37
BTTSNot both teams to score
65% chance1.46
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
56% chance1.79fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
18% chance5.49fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time ZESCO United, full-time ZESCO United
28% chance3.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.76fair

Nkwazi vs ZESCO United prediction

Our Nkwazi vs ZESCO United prediction and pick

The Nkwazi vs ZESCO United prediction leans to ZESCO United: 48% against 21% for Nkwazi, with 32% left for the draw, in the Zambia Super League on Saturday, 31 October 2026.

Nkwazi are expected to score 0.69 and ZESCO United 1.18, so the total line is 1.87 goals; over 2.5 lands at 29% and BTTS at 35%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

ZESCO United or draw is the main selection, rated 79%. The best price in our comparison is 1.20 at Melbet, which implies 83%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Nkwazi vs ZESCO United.

A 32% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 5 matches Nkwazi stand at 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; ZESCO United show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Nkwazi vs ZESCO United? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 56%, over 2.5 at 29%, over 3.5 at 12%; under 2.5 is 72% and under 3.5 is 88%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%; Betwinner pay 1.37.

Both teams to score is 35%: Nkwazi find the net in 50% of simulated matches and ZESCO United in 69%. Nkwazi keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and ZESCO United 50%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 18.2%, then 0-0 at 15.4% and 1-1 at 12.5%.

Half-time / full-time: half-time ZESCO United, full-time ZESCO United is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 57%.

Every market for Nkwazi vs ZESCO United

The grid built from 0.69 and 1.18 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Nkwazi to win21%4.33
Draw32%2.92
ZESCO United to win48%2.03
Nkwazi, draw no bet31%fair 3.26
ZESCO United, draw no bet69%fair 1.44

Double chance

Nkwazi or draw53%1.73
ZESCO United or draw79%1.20
Nkwazi or ZESCO United (no draw)69%1.38

Goals

Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 goals56%fair 1.79
Over 2.5 goals29%2.97
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.33
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 23.81
Under 1.5 goals44%fair 2.26
Under 2.5 goals72%1.37
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.14

BTTS

Both teams to score35%2.77
Not both teams to score65%1.46

Halves

First-half goal57%fair 1.76
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.85
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56

Team goals

Nkwazi to score50%fair 2.01
ZESCO United to score69%fair 1.44
Nkwazi clean sheet31%fair 3.26
ZESCO United clean sheet50%fair 1.99
Nkwazi to win to nil19%fair 5.18
ZESCO United to win to nil44%fair 2.29

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95

Most likely scores

0-118.2%
0-015.4%
1-112.5%
0-210.7%
1-010.6%
1-27.4%

Half-time / full-time

ZESCO United / ZESCO United27.7%
Draw / Draw22.8%
Draw / ZESCO United18.4%
Nkwazi / Nkwazi11.4%
Draw / Nkwazi9.3%

Questions about Nkwazi vs ZESCO United

Who is favourite in Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?

The model gives ZESCO United the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Nkwazi vs ZESCO United correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 18.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 29% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?

The BTTS yes line is rated 35%. Nkwazi find the net in 50% of simulated matches and ZESCO United in 69%.

What time does Nkwazi vs ZESCO United kick off?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Nkwazi v ZESCO UnitedZESCO United or draw, 79%
1.20Bet