Zambia Super League
NkwaziHomeLDDDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Green EaglesAwayWWWDD393229
Nkwazi winDrawGreen Eagles win
NkwaziHomeLDDDDGreen EaglesAwayWWWDD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.85 1.03 : 0.82
- Favourite
- 39% Nkwazi
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 36% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Nkwazi vs Green Eagles
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Nkwazi vs Green Eagles yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
71%
Our prediction
Nkwazi or draw
1.40fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.40fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.56fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.81fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.77fair
Nkwazi vs Green Eagles prediction
Our Nkwazi vs Green Eagles prediction and pick
The Nkwazi vs Green Eagles prediction leans to Nkwazi: 39% against 29% for Green Eagles, with 32% left for the draw, in the Zambia Super League on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.03 for Nkwazi and 0.82 for Green Eagles, a total of 1.85, which puts over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams to score at 36%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Nkwazi vs Green Eagles is nkwazi or draw, a 71% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
A 32% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Nkwazi average 0.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across their last 5, Green Eagles 1.2 and 0.2 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Nkwazi vs Green Eagles
Under 2.5 goals is rated 72% and under 3.5 88%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 55% and over 2.5 at 28%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%.
Both teams to score is 36%: Nkwazi find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Green Eagles in 56%. Nkwazi keep a clean sheet 44% of the time and Green Eagles 36%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 16.2%, followed by 0-0 (15.7%) and 1-1 (13.3%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 57%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Nkwazi vs Green Eagles
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Nkwazi vs Green Eagles, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Nkwazi to win39%fair 2.54
Draw32%fair 3.12
Green Eagles to win29%fair 3.50
Nkwazi, draw no bet58%fair 1.73
Green Eagles, draw no bet42%fair 2.38
Double chance
Nkwazi or draw71%fair 1.40
Green Eagles or draw61%fair 1.65
Nkwazi or Green Eagles (no draw)68%fair 1.47
Goals
Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 2.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.00
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Under 2.5 goals72%fair 1.40
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.13
BTTS
Both teams to score36%fair 2.77
Not both teams to score64%fair 1.56
Halves
First-half goal57%fair 1.77
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 4.93
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56
Team goals
Nkwazi to score64%fair 1.56
Green Eagles to score56%fair 1.79
Nkwazi clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Green Eagles clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Nkwazi to win to nil36%fair 2.76
Green Eagles to win to nil26%fair 3.80
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
1-016.2%
0-015.7%
1-113.3%
0-112.9%
2-08.3%
2-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw23.6%
Nkwazi / Nkwazi22.4%
Draw / Nkwazi15.8%
Green Eagles / Green Eagles15.4%
Draw / Green Eagles11.9%
Questions about Nkwazi vs Green Eagles
Nkwazi or Green Eagles: which side does the model back?
The model gives Nkwazi the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Nkwazi vs Green Eagles correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 28% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Nkwazi vs Green Eagles?
The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. Nkwazi find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Green Eagles in 56%.
When do Nkwazi play Green Eagles?
Nkwazi vs Green Eagles starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.