Zambia Super League
Roan UnitedHomeWDLLD
v
Red ArrowsAwayWDWLD383230
Roan United winDrawRed Arrows win
Roan UnitedHomeWDLLDRed ArrowsAwayWDWLD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.91 1.03 : 0.88
- Favourite
- 38% Roan United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 30% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 38% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Roan United vs Red Arrows odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
70%
Our prediction
Roan United or draw
1.43fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
63% chance1.60fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
57% chance1.76fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.54fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
23% chance4.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.73fair
Roan United vs Red Arrows prediction
Roan United vs Red Arrows prediction, who wins and at what price
Roan United vs Red Arrows prediction for the Zambia Super League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model calls it close, Roan United 38%, draw 32%, Red Arrows 30%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
The goal expectancy is 1.91 in total, split 1.03 to Roan United and 0.88 to Red Arrows. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 30% and both teams to score 38%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is roan United or draw at 70%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Roan United average 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Red Arrows 0.8 and 0.4 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Roan United vs Red Arrows
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 57%, over 2.5 at 30%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 70% and under 3.5 is 87%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 38%, built from Roan United scoring in 64% of runs and Red Arrows in 59%; clean sheets come at 42% for Roan United and 36% for Red Arrows.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Roan United vs Red Arrows: 1-0 (15.3%), 0-0 (14.8%) and 1-1 (13.4%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 58%.
Every market for Roan United vs Red Arrows
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 38% / 32% / 30% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Roan United to win38%fair 2.62
Draw32%fair 3.15
Red Arrows to win30%fair 3.31
Roan United, draw no bet56%fair 1.79
Red Arrows, draw no bet44%fair 2.26
Double chance
Roan United or draw70%fair 1.43
Red Arrows or draw62%fair 1.62
Roan United or Red Arrows (no draw)68%fair 1.46
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals57%fair 1.76
Over 2.5 goals30%fair 3.36
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 22.22
Under 1.5 goals43%fair 2.32
Under 2.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15
BTTS
Both teams to score38%fair 2.67
Not both teams to score63%fair 1.60
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.73
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.69
Second-half goal65%fair 1.54
Team goals
Roan United to score64%fair 1.56
Red Arrows to score59%fair 1.71
Roan United clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Red Arrows clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Roan United to win to nil35%fair 2.85
Red Arrows to win to nil28%fair 3.60
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-015.3%
0-014.8%
1-113.4%
0-113%
2-07.9%
2-16.9%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw22.8%
Roan United / Roan United21.6%
Red Arrows / Red Arrows16.6%
Draw / Roan United15.2%
Draw / Red Arrows12.4%
Questions about Roan United vs Red Arrows
Roan United or Red Arrows: which side does the model back?
The model gives Roan United the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Roan United vs Red Arrows?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 30% backs the same picture with less variance.
Roan United vs Red Arrows both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. Roan United find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Red Arrows in 59%.
What time does Roan United vs Red Arrows kick off?
Roan United vs Red Arrows starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.