Zambia Super League
NAPSA StarsHomeDDDLD
0:1Half-time 0:1
Nchanga RangersAwayLLLWD463123
NAPSA Stars winDrawNchanga Rangers win
NAPSA StarsHomeDDDLDNchanga RangersAwayLLLWD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.90 1.16 : 0.74
- Favourite
- 46% NAPSA Stars
- Over 2.5 goals
- 30% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 36% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
76%
Our prediction
NAPSA Stars or draw
1.31fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.56fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
57% chance1.77fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance5.78fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time NAPSA Stars, full-time NAPSA Stars
27% chance3.77fair
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.74fair
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers prediction
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers prediction and best bet
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers prediction for the Zambia Super League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes NAPSA Stars marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 31% and Nchanga Rangers at 24%.
Expected goals are 1.16 for NAPSA Stars and 0.74 for Nchanga Rangers, a total of 1.90, which puts over 2.5 goals at 30% and both teams to score at 36%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is nAPSA Stars or draw at 76%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: NAPSA Stars have won 0 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 5 conceded, Nchanga Rangers 1 of 5 scoring 1 and conceding 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 57%, over 2.5 at 30%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 70% and under 3.5 is 88%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 36%, built from NAPSA Stars scoring in 69% of runs and Nchanga Rangers in 52%; clean sheets come at 48% for NAPSA Stars and 31% for Nchanga Rangers.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers: 1-0 (17.3%), 0-0 (15%) and 1-1 (12.8%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time NAPSA Stars, full-time NAPSA Stars leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 58%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
NAPSA Stars to win46%fair 2.19
Draw31%fair 3.25
Nchanga Rangers to win24%fair 4.24
NAPSA Stars, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Nchanga Rangers, draw no bet34%fair 2.93
Double chance
NAPSA Stars or draw76%fair 1.31
Nchanga Rangers or draw54%fair 1.84
NAPSA Stars or Nchanga Rangers (no draw)69%fair 1.45
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 goals57%fair 1.77
Over 2.5 goals30%fair 3.36
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 22.73
Under 1.5 goals43%fair 2.30
Under 2.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.14
BTTS
Both teams to score36%fair 2.77
Not both teams to score64%fair 1.56
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.74
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.74
Second-half goal65%fair 1.54
Team goals
NAPSA Stars to score69%fair 1.46
Nchanga Rangers to score52%fair 1.91
NAPSA Stars clean sheet48%fair 2.10
Nchanga Rangers clean sheet31%fair 3.19
NAPSA Stars to win to nil42%fair 2.38
Nchanga Rangers to win to nil22%fair 4.61
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-017.3%
0-015%
1-112.8%
0-111.1%
2-010.1%
2-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
NAPSA Stars / NAPSA Stars26.5%
Draw / Draw22.6%
Draw / NAPSA Stars17.7%
Nchanga Rangers / Nchanga Rangers12.5%
Draw / Nchanga Rangers10%
Questions about NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
Who will win NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers?
The model gives NAPSA Stars the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 30% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers?
The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. NAPSA Stars find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Nchanga Rangers in 52%.
What time does NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers kick off?
NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.