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Live 11 UTC
Zambia Super League Round 5 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Kabwe WarriorsHomeDWLD
1:2Half-time 0:0
Green BuffaloesAwayWDDWW
363727
Kabwe Warriors winDrawGreen Buffaloes win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
1.85
1.01 : 0.84
Favourite
36%
Kabwe Warriors
Over 2.5 goals
28%
model chance
Both teams to score
39%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.452.533.282.811.332.241.55Bet
22Bet2.402.923.232.821.402.501.50Bet
BC.Game2.382.703.25----Bet
Betwinner2.402.923.232.821.402.501.50Bet
Melbet2.402.923.232.821.402.501.50Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Kabwe Warriors to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Kabwe Warriors price at 2.45, Melbet lead the draw at 2.92 and 1xBet have Green Buffaloes longest at 3.28.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.82 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.40 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.50 (22Bet) and no 1.55 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

Kabwe Warriors or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.01 : 0.84-3.2% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.40
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.81fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.29fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.77fair

Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes prediction

Our Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes prediction and pick

The Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes prediction leans to Kabwe Warriors: 36% against 27% for Green Buffaloes, with 37% left for the draw, in the Zambia Super League on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.01 for Kabwe Warriors and 0.84 for Green Buffaloes, a total of 1.85, which puts over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams to score at 39%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Kabwe Warriors or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at Melbet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes.

The draw is live at 37%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Kabwe Warriors average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 4, Green Buffaloes 1.0 and 0.2 across 5.

A low-scoring Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 55%, over 2.5 at 28%, over 3.5 at 12%; under 2.5 is 72% and under 3.5 is 88%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.40 at Melbet.

BTTS yes stands at 39%. Kabwe Warriors score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Green Buffaloes; Green Buffaloes score in 57% while Kabwe Warriors shut them out 43% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15.9%, followed by 0-0 (15.7%) and 1-1 (13.3%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 57%.

All markets, Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Kabwe Warriors to win36%2.45
Draw37%2.92
Green Buffaloes to win27%3.28
Kabwe Warriors, draw no bet58%fair 1.73
Green Buffaloes, draw no bet42%fair 2.36

Double chance

Kabwe Warriors or draw73%1.32
Green Buffaloes or draw64%1.53
Kabwe Warriors or Green Buffaloes (no draw)63%1.40

Goals

Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 2.5 goals28%2.82
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.00
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Under 2.5 goals72%1.40
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.13

BTTS

Both teams to score39%2.50
Not both teams to score61%1.55

Halves

First-half goal57%fair 1.77
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 4.93
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56

Team goals

Kabwe Warriors to score64%fair 1.57
Green Buffaloes to score57%fair 1.76
Kabwe Warriors clean sheet43%fair 2.31
Green Buffaloes clean sheet36%fair 2.75
Kabwe Warriors to win to nil34%fair 2.99
Green Buffaloes to win to nil25%fair 4.07

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95

Most likely scores

1-015.9%
0-015.7%
1-113.3%
0-113.2%
2-08%
2-16.7%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw23.6%
Kabwe Warriors / Kabwe Warriors21.7%
Green Buffaloes / Green Buffaloes16%
Draw / Kabwe Warriors15.4%
Draw / Green Buffaloes12.2%

Questions about Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes

Who will win Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes?

The model gives Kabwe Warriors the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 37%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 28% backs the same picture with less variance.

Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Kabwe Warriors find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Green Buffaloes in 57%.

When do Kabwe Warriors play Green Buffaloes?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Kabwe Warriors v Green BuffaloesKabwe Warriors or draw, 73%
1.32Bet