Kabwe WarriorsHomeDWLD
Green BuffaloesAwayWDDWW
Kabwe WarriorsHomeDWLD
Green BuffaloesAwayWDDWW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 2.53 | 3.28 | 2.81 | 1.33 | 2.24 | 1.55 | Bet | |
| 2.40 | 2.92 | 3.23 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet | |
| 2.38 | 2.70 | 3.25 | - | - | - | - | Bet | |
| 2.40 | 2.92 | 3.23 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet | |
| 2.40 | 2.92 | 3.23 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
1xBet pay the best Kabwe Warriors price at 2.45, Melbet lead the draw at 2.92 and 1xBet have Green Buffaloes longest at 3.28.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.82 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.40 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.50 (22Bet) and no 1.55 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
Our prediction
The Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes prediction leans to Kabwe Warriors: 36% against 27% for Green Buffaloes, with 37% left for the draw, in the Zambia Super League on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.01 for Kabwe Warriors and 0.84 for Green Buffaloes, a total of 1.85, which puts over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams to score at 39%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Kabwe Warriors or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at Melbet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes.
The draw is live at 37%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Kabwe Warriors average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 4, Green Buffaloes 1.0 and 0.2 across 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 55%, over 2.5 at 28%, over 3.5 at 12%; under 2.5 is 72% and under 3.5 is 88%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.40 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 39%. Kabwe Warriors score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Green Buffaloes; Green Buffaloes score in 57% while Kabwe Warriors shut them out 43% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15.9%, followed by 0-0 (15.7%) and 1-1 (13.3%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 57%.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Kabwe Warriors the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 37%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 28% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Kabwe Warriors find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Green Buffaloes in 57%.
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.