Mutondo Stars vs Roan United prediction

Our Mutondo Stars vs Roan United prediction and pick

Roan United are marginally ahead in the Mutondo Stars vs Roan United prediction, rated 39% to win this Zambia Super League match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Mutondo Stars sit at 29% and the draw at 32%.

The goal expectancy is 1.90 in total, split 0.86 to Mutondo Stars and 1.04 to Roan United. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 30% and both teams to score 38%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Mutondo Stars vs Roan United is roan United or draw, a 71% chance. At 1.28 with BC.Game the market prices it at 78%, against 71% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 5 matches Mutondo Stars stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Roan United show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Mutondo Stars vs Roan United? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 57%, over 2.5 at 30%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 70% and under 3.5 is 88%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.30 at Melbet.

BTTS yes stands at 38%. Mutondo Stars score in 58% of simulations against a 42% clean sheet for Roan United; Roan United score in 65% while Mutondo Stars shut them out 35% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mutondo Stars vs Roan United: 0-1 (15.6%), 0-0 (15%) and 1-1 (13.4%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 58%.