MLS
Round 34 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
San DiegoHomeDDDLW
Sun 8 Nov
Sporting Kansas CityAwayLLLLD671716
San Diego winDrawSporting Kansas City win
MLS
Round 34 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
San DiegoHomeDDDLWSporting Kansas CityAwayLLLLD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 4.18 2.81 : 1.37
- Favourite
- 67% San Diego
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 70% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.45 | 5.30 | 5.70 | 1.23 | 3.82 | 1.36 | 2.90 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.44 | 5.00 | 5.40 | 1.25 | 3.65 | 1.35 | 2.82 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.45 | 5.30 | 5.70 | 1.23 | 3.82 | 1.36 | 2.90 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.45 | 5.30 | 5.70 | 1.23 | 3.82 | 1.36 | 2.90 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
San Diego to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City are 1.45 for San Diego at 22Bet, 5.30 for the draw at 22Bet and 5.70 for Sporting Kansas City at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.25 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.82 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.36 (Betwinner) and no 2.90 (Betwinner).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
67%
Our prediction
San Diego to win
Double chanceSan Diego or draw
84% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
78% chance1.25
BTTSBoth teams to score
70% chance1.36
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
92% chance1.09fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
8% chance12.05fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time San Diego, full-time San Diego
46% chance2.16fair
San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City prediction
San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City prediction and best bet
San Diego are the clear favourite in the San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City prediction, rated 67% to win this MLS match on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Sporting Kansas City sit at 17% and the draw at 17%.
The goal expectancy is 4.18 in total, split 2.81 to San Diego and 1.37 to Sporting Kansas City. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 78% and both teams to score 70%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City is san Diego to win, a 67% chance. At 1.45 with 22Bet the market prices it at 69%, against 67% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
San Diego or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.14.
With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches San Diego stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Sporting Kansas City show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City reads 92% for over 1.5, 78% for over 2.5 and 60% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 22%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 78%, best priced 1.25 at BC.Game.
Both teams to score is 70%: San Diego find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Sporting Kansas City in 75%. San Diego keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Sporting Kansas City 6%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 8.3%, followed by 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 8.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time San Diego, full-time San Diego is the top combination at 46%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 85%.
Every market for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 67% / 17% / 17% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
San Diego to win67%1.45
Draw17%5.30
Sporting Kansas City to win17%5.70
San Diego, draw no bet80%fair 1.25
Sporting Kansas City, draw no bet20%fair 5.03
Double chance
San Diego or draw84%1.14
Sporting Kansas City or draw33%2.75
San Diego or Sporting Kansas City (no draw)83%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 2.5 goals78%1.25
Over 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
Over 4.5 goals41%fair 2.46
Under 1.5 goals8%fair 12.50
Under 2.5 goals22%3.82
Under 3.5 goals40%fair 2.50
BTTS
Both teams to score70%1.36
Not both teams to score30%2.90
Halves
First-half goal85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 first-half goals56%fair 1.78
Second-half goal90%fair 1.11
Team goals
San Diego to score94%fair 1.06
Sporting Kansas City to score75%fair 1.34
San Diego clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet6%fair 16.67
San Diego to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Sporting Kansas City to win to nil6%fair 18.18
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.3%
3-17.8%
2-06%
1-15.9%
2-25.7%
3-05.7%
Half-time / full-time
San Diego / San Diego46.2%
Draw / San Diego16.6%
Sporting Kansas City / Sporting Kansas City9.3%
Draw / Draw7.6%
Draw / Sporting Kansas City5.4%
Questions about San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City
Who will win San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model gives San Diego the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 17%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 78%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
The BTTS yes line is rated 70%. San Diego find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Sporting Kansas City in 75%.
What time does San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.