MLS
Round 34 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
Minnesota United FCHomeDDWDW
Sun 8 Nov
San Jose EarthquakesAwayDDLDW532225
Minnesota United FC winDrawSan Jose Earthquakes win
MLS
Round 34 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
Minnesota United FCHomeDDWDWSan Jose EarthquakesAwayDDLDW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.45 2.06 : 1.39
- Favourite
- 53% Minnesota United FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 67% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.78 | 4.18 | 3.98 | 1.46 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.60 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.76 | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.41 | 2.74 | 1.40 | 2.64 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Minnesota United FC to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Minnesota United FC price at 1.78, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.18 and 22Bet have San Jose Earthquakes longest at 3.98.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.46 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.74 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.44 (22Bet) and no 2.64 (BC.Game).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
53%
Our prediction
Minnesota United FC to win
Double chanceMinnesota United FC or San Jose Earthquakes (no draw)
78% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.46
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.44
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.64fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Minnesota United FC, full-time Minnesota United FC
34% chance2.97fair
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction, who wins and at what price
Minnesota United FC host San Jose Earthquakes on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the MLS, and the model has Minnesota United FC at 53%, the draw at 22% and San Jose Earthquakes at 25%: that is the Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction in one line.
Minnesota United FC are expected to score 2.06 and San Jose Earthquakes 1.39, so the total line is 3.45 goals; over 2.5 lands at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes is minnesota United FC to win, a 53% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.78 at 22Bet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, minnesota United FC or San Jose Earthquakes (no draw) covers 78% of outcomes at 1.23.
Form check: Minnesota United FC have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 7 conceded, San Jose Earthquakes 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 8.
Goals forecast for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 66%, over 3.5 at 45%; under 2.5 is 34% and under 3.5 is 55%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 22Bet pay 1.46.
BTTS yes stands at 67%. Minnesota United FC score in 87% of simulations against a 13% clean sheet for San Jose Earthquakes; San Jose Earthquakes score in 75% while Minnesota United FC shut them out 25% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.4%, followed by 1-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (6.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Minnesota United FC, full-time Minnesota United FC leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Minnesota United FC to win53%1.78
Draw22%4.18
San Jose Earthquakes to win25%3.98
Minnesota United FC, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
San Jose Earthquakes, draw no bet32%fair 3.12
Double chance
Minnesota United FC or draw75%1.25
San Jose Earthquakes or draw47%2.04
Minnesota United FC or San Jose Earthquakes (no draw)78%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.46
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.21
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.09
Under 2.5 goals34%2.74
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.82
BTTS
Both teams to score67%1.44
Not both teams to score34%2.64
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.17
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Minnesota United FC to score87%fair 1.15
San Jose Earthquakes to score75%fair 1.33
Minnesota United FC clean sheet25%fair 4.02
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet13%fair 7.87
Minnesota United FC to win to nil23%fair 4.37
San Jose Earthquakes to win to nil12%fair 8.55
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.4%
1-19.1%
2-06.7%
1-06.5%
2-26.5%
3-16.4%
Half-time / full-time
Minnesota United FC / Minnesota United FC33.7%
Draw / Minnesota United FC15.6%
San Jose Earthquakes / San Jose Earthquakes14.9%
Draw / Draw11%
Draw / San Jose Earthquakes8.7%
Questions about Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
Who is favourite in Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model gives Minnesota United FC the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 66%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Minnesota United FC find the net in 87% of simulated matches and San Jose Earthquakes in 75%.
When do Minnesota United FC play San Jose Earthquakes?
Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.