Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo prediction

Our Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo prediction and pick

Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo prediction for the Uruguay Segunda División on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Plaza Colonia a narrow favourite at 59%, with the draw at 25% and Tacuarembo at 16%.

Plaza Colonia are expected to score 1.65 and Tacuarembo 0.74, so the total line is 2.39 goals; over 2.5 lands at 43% and BTTS at 43%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo is plaza Colonia to win, a 59% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.54 at 1xBet, which implies 65%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo.

Plaza Colonia or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.08.

Plaza Colonia average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Tacuarembo 0.6 and 1.2 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo

On the goal lines Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo reads 69% for over 1.5, 43% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 58%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.67 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, built from Plaza Colonia scoring in 81% of runs and Tacuarembo in 52%; clean sheets come at 48% for Plaza Colonia and 19% for Tacuarembo.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo: 1-0 (15.1%), 2-0 (12.5%) and 1-1 (11.2%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Plaza Colonia, full-time Plaza Colonia is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.