Uruguay Segunda División
PaysanduHomeLWWWD
3:2Half-time 1:0
ColónAwayDWWLW353134
Paysandu winDrawColón win
PaysanduHomeLWWWDColónAwayDWWLW- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.16 1.09 : 1.07
- Favourite
- 35% Paysandu
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 45% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Paysandu vs Colón
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.66 | 2.90 | 2.49 | 2.41 | 1.48 | 2.01 | 1.68 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.64 | 3.21 | 2.64 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.70 | 2.98 | 2.54 | 2.38 | 1.52 | 1.98 | 1.68 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.64 | 3.21 | 2.64 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.66 | 2.90 | 2.49 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 2.01 | 1.69 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Paysandu to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Paysandu price at 2.70, Betwinner lead the draw at 3.21 and Betwinner have Colón longest at 2.64.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.48 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.52 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.28 (22Bet) and no 1.69 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
69%
Our prediction
Paysandu or Colón (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.52
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
64% chance1.57fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Paysandu, full-time Paysandu
20% chance4.93fair
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.61fair
Paysandu vs Colón prediction
Our Paysandu vs Colón prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Paysandu vs Colón prediction for Monday, 26 October 2026: 35% home, 31% draw and 34% away in the Uruguay Segunda División. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Paysandu are expected to score 1.09 and Colón 1.07, so the total line is 2.16 goals; over 2.5 lands at 36% and BTTS at 45%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is paysandu or Colón (no draw) at 69%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 7 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 5 matches Paysandu stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Colón show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Paysandu vs Colón
Under 2.5 goals is rated 64% and under 3.5 83%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 64% and over 2.5 at 36%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; BC.Game pay 1.52.
The chance of both teams scoring is 45%, built from Paysandu scoring in 66% of runs and Colón in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Paysandu and 34% for Colón.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Paysandu vs Colón: 1-1 (13.5%), 1-0 (12.6%) and 0-1 (12.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Paysandu, full-time Paysandu leads at 20%. A goal before the break is rated 62%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Paysandu vs Colón
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Paysandu vs Colón, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Paysandu to win35%2.70
Draw31%3.21
Colón to win34%2.64
Paysandu, draw no bet51%fair 1.96
Colón, draw no bet49%fair 2.04
Double chance
Paysandu or draw66%1.45
Colón or draw65%1.45
Paysandu or Colón (no draw)69%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals64%fair 1.57
Over 2.5 goals36%2.48
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 14.71
Under 1.5 goals36%fair 2.75
Under 2.5 goals64%1.52
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.21
BTTS
Both teams to score45%2.28
Not both teams to score55%1.69
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.61
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 3.94
Second-half goal70%fair 1.44
Team goals
Paysandu to score66%fair 1.51
Colón to score66%fair 1.52
Paysandu clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Colón clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Paysandu to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Colón to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-113.5%
1-012.6%
0-112.3%
0-011.5%
2-17.3%
1-27.2%
Half-time / full-time
Paysandu / Paysandu20.3%
Draw / Draw20%
Colón / Colón19.7%
Draw / Paysandu13.8%
Draw / Colón13.5%
Questions about Paysandu vs Colón
Who will win Paysandu vs Colón?
The model gives Paysandu the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Paysandu vs Colón correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 36%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Paysandu vs Colón both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Paysandu find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Colón in 66%.
What time does Paysandu vs Colón kick off?
Paysandu vs Colón starts at 23:30 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.