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Live 11 UTC
Uruguay Segunda División 2nd Phase - 25 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
MiramarHomeWDWLD
1:1Half-time 0:1
Plaza ColoniaAwayLDWDD
272944
Miramar winDrawPlaza Colonia win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.29
0.97 : 1.32
Favourite
44%
Plaza Colonia
Over 2.5 goals
40%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Miramar vs Plaza Colonia odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.443.082.032.181.581.911.77Bet
22Bet2.943.262.372.311.572.111.68Bet
BC.Game3.102.982.262.281.571.901.74Bet
Betwinner2.943.262.372.311.572.211.62Bet
Melbet2.943.262.372.311.572.111.68Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Plaza Colonia to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Miramar vs Plaza Colonia prediction: Miramar 3.44 (1xBet), draw 3.26 (22Bet), Plaza Colonia 2.37 (22Bet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.31 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.58 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.21 (Betwinner) and no 1.77 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

Plaza Colonia or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 0.97 : 1.32+0.6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.58
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.77Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.46fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Plaza Colonia, full-time Plaza Colonia
26% chance3.79fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fairWon

Miramar vs Plaza Colonia odds movement

Miramar win3.44-0.31
Draw3.26-0.04
Plaza Colonia win2.37unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.31unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.58-0.07

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Miramar vs Plaza Colonia prediction

Miramar vs Plaza Colonia prediction, who wins and at what price

The Miramar vs Plaza Colonia prediction leans to Plaza Colonia: 44% against 27% for Miramar, with 29% left for the draw, in the Uruguay Segunda División on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

Expected goals are 0.97 for Miramar and 1.32 for Plaza Colonia, a total of 2.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 47%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Plaza Colonia or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.37 at Melbet, which implies 73%, so the model sits 0 points above the market.

Form check: Miramar have won 2 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 5 conceded, Plaza Colonia 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 5.

A low-scoring Miramar vs Plaza Colonia? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 67%, over 2.5 at 40%, over 3.5 at 20%; under 2.5 is 60% and under 3.5 is 80%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.58 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 47%: Miramar find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Plaza Colonia in 73%. Miramar keep a clean sheet 27% of the time and Plaza Colonia 38%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.4%, followed by 1-1 (13%) and 0-0 (10.1%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Plaza Colonia, full-time Plaza Colonia is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 64%.

Every market for Miramar vs Plaza Colonia

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Miramar vs Plaza Colonia, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Miramar to win27%3.44
Draw29%3.26
Plaza Colonia to win44%2.37
Miramar, draw no bet38%fair 2.67
Plaza Colonia, draw no bet63%fair 1.60

Double chance

Miramar or draw56%1.63
Plaza Colonia or draw73%1.37
Miramar or Plaza Colonia (no draw)71%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%2.31
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.05
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Under 2.5 goals60%1.58
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25

BTTS

Both teams to score47%2.21
Not both teams to score53%1.77

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.64
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40

Team goals

Miramar to score62%fair 1.61
Plaza Colonia to score73%fair 1.36
Miramar clean sheet27%fair 3.75
Plaza Colonia clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Miramar to win to nil25%fair 4.08
Plaza Colonia to win to nil35%fair 2.87

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-113.4%
1-113%
0-010.1%
1-09.8%
0-28.8%
1-28.6%

Half-time / full-time

Plaza Colonia / Plaza Colonia26.4%
Draw / Draw18.4%
Draw / Plaza Colonia16.3%
Miramar / Miramar15.2%
Draw / Miramar10.8%

Questions about Miramar vs Plaza Colonia

Miramar or Plaza Colonia: which side does the model back?

The model gives Plaza Colonia the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Miramar vs Plaza Colonia?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.

Miramar vs Plaza Colonia both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Miramar find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Plaza Colonia in 73%.

When do Miramar play Plaza Colonia?

Kick-off is 22:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Miramar v Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia or draw, 73%
1.37Bet