Uruguay Segunda División
CA River PlateHomeWDLLD
1:2Half-time 0:1
Uruguay MontevideoAwayLLDWD602416
CA River Plate winDrawUruguay Montevideo win
CA River PlateHomeWDLLDUruguay MontevideoAwayLLDWD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.58 1.78 : 0.80
- Favourite
- 60% CA River Plate
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
60%
Our prediction
CA River Plate to win
1.66fair
Double chanceCA River Plate or draw
84% chance1.19fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.92fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.85fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time CA River Plate, full-time CA River Plate
38% chance2.60fair
CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo prediction
CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo prediction, who wins and at what price
The CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo prediction leans to CA River Plate: 60% against 16% for Uruguay Montevideo, with 24% left for the draw, in the Uruguay Segunda División on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.58 in total, split 1.78 to CA River Plate and 0.80 to Uruguay Montevideo. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 46%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo is cA River Plate to win, a 60% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, cA River Plate or draw covers 84% of outcomes.
Form check: CA River Plate have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, Uruguay Montevideo 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 7.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 48%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 74%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%.
Both teams to score is 46%: CA River Plate find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Uruguay Montevideo in 55%. CA River Plate keep a clean sheet 45% of the time and Uruguay Montevideo 17%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.5%, then 2-0 at 12% and 1-1 at 10.8%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time CA River Plate, full-time CA River Plate leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 60% / 24% / 16% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
CA River Plate to win60%fair 1.66
Draw24%fair 4.22
Uruguay Montevideo to win16%fair 6.21
CA River Plate, draw no bet79%fair 1.27
Uruguay Montevideo, draw no bet21%fair 4.74
Double chance
CA River Plate or draw84%fair 1.19
Uruguay Montevideo or draw40%fair 2.51
CA River Plate or Uruguay Montevideo (no draw)76%fair 1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals48%fair 2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.33
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Under 2.5 goals52%fair 1.92
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score46%fair 2.17
Not both teams to score54%fair 1.85
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.10
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
CA River Plate to score83%fair 1.20
Uruguay Montevideo to score55%fair 1.81
CA River Plate clean sheet45%fair 2.23
Uruguay Montevideo clean sheet17%fair 5.92
CA River Plate to win to nil41%fair 2.42
Uruguay Montevideo to win to nil15%fair 6.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-013.5%
2-012%
1-110.8%
2-19.6%
0-07.6%
3-07.1%
Half-time / full-time
CA River Plate / CA River Plate38.4%
Draw / CA River Plate19.7%
Draw / Draw14.7%
Uruguay Montevideo / Uruguay Montevideo8.8%
Draw / Uruguay Montevideo6.7%
Questions about CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo
CA River Plate or Uruguay Montevideo: which side does the model back?
The model gives CA River Plate the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. CA River Plate find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Uruguay Montevideo in 55%.
When do CA River Plate play Uruguay Montevideo?
CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo starts at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.