Uruguay Segunda División
AtenasHomeWDLWL
4:0Half-time 3:0
FenixAwayWDLLD313039
Atenas winDrawFenix win
AtenasHomeWDLWLFenixAwayWDLLD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.26 1.04 : 1.22
- Favourite
- 40% Fenix
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Atenas vs Fenix betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.18 | 3.02 | 2.16 | 2.29 | 1.53 | 1.96 | 1.73 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.72 | 3.05 | 2.46 | 2.26 | 1.58 | 1.92 | 1.73 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Fenix to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Atenas vs Fenix prediction: Atenas 3.18 (1xBet), draw 3.05 (BC.Game), Fenix 2.46 (BC.Game).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.29 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.58 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.96 (1xBet) and no 1.73 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
70%
Our prediction
Atenas or Fenix (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.58
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.52fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fenix, full-time Fenix
23% chance4.29fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.57fair
Atenas vs Fenix prediction
Atenas vs Fenix prediction, who wins and at what price
Atenas host Fenix on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Uruguay Segunda División, and the model has Fenix at 40%, the draw at 30% and Atenas at 31%: that is the Atenas vs Fenix prediction in one line.
Atenas are expected to score 1.04 and Fenix 1.22, so the total line is 2.26 goals; over 2.5 lands at 39% and BTTS at 47%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is atenas or Fenix (no draw) at 70%. At 1.29 with BC.Game the market prices it at 78%, against 70% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Atenas average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Fenix 0.6 and 1.2 across 5.
A low-scoring Atenas vs Fenix? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 66%, over 2.5 at 39%, over 3.5 at 19%; under 2.5 is 61% and under 3.5 is 81%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.58 at BC.Game.
The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from Atenas scoring in 65% of runs and Fenix in 71%; clean sheets come at 30% for Atenas and 35% for Fenix.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%, followed by 0-1 (12.7%) and 1-0 (10.9%).
With the top scoreline at 13.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Atenas vs Fenix; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fenix, full-time Fenix leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Atenas vs Fenix
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Atenas vs Fenix, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Atenas to win31%3.18
Draw30%3.05
Fenix to win40%2.46
Atenas, draw no bet44%fair 2.29
Fenix, draw no bet56%fair 1.78
Double chance
Atenas or draw60%1.55
Fenix or draw69%1.36
Atenas or Fenix (no draw)70%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 2.5 goals39%2.29
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.66
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.94
Under 2.5 goals61%1.58
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.24
BTTS
Both teams to score47%1.96
Not both teams to score53%1.73
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.57
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.70
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41
Team goals
Atenas to score65%fair 1.55
Fenix to score71%fair 1.42
Atenas clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Fenix clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Atenas to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Fenix to win to nil33%fair 3.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.2%
0-112.7%
1-010.9%
0-010.4%
1-28.1%
0-27.8%
Half-time / full-time
Fenix / Fenix23.3%
Draw / Draw18.9%
Atenas / Atenas17.6%
Draw / Fenix15%
Draw / Atenas12.2%
Questions about Atenas vs Fenix
Atenas or Fenix: which side does the model back?
The model gives Fenix the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Atenas vs Fenix?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 39%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Atenas vs Fenix?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Atenas find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Fenix in 71%.
What time does Atenas vs Fenix kick off?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.