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Live 28 UTC
Uruguay Segunda División 2nd Phase - 24 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
CerritoHomeDWLDD
2:2Half-time 2:0
RentistasAwayLLWDW
343036
Cerrito winDrawRentistas win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.36
1.16 : 1.20
Favourite
36%
Rentistas
Over 2.5 goals
42%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Cerrito vs Rentistas odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.823.042.352.151.601.851.82Bet
22Bet2.733.322.492.221.622.021.74Bet
BC.Game2.743.102.422.141.641.821.82Bet
Betwinner2.823.042.352.151.601.851.82Bet
Melbet2.733.322.492.221.622.021.74Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Rentistas to win partner prices

Betwinner pay the best Cerrito price at 2.82, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.32 and 22Bet have Rentistas longest at 2.49.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.22 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.64 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (22Bet) and no 1.82 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

70%

Our prediction

Cerrito or Rentistas (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.16 : 1.20-9.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.64
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rentistas, full-time Rentistas
21% chance4.67fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.53fair

Cerrito vs Rentistas prediction

Cerrito vs Rentistas prediction, who wins and at what price

Cerrito vs Rentistas prediction for the Uruguay Segunda División on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model calls it close, Cerrito 34%, draw 30%, Rentistas 36%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.16 for Cerrito and 1.20 for Rentistas, a total of 2.36, which puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 50%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Cerrito or Rentistas (no draw) is the main selection, rated 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at Melbet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cerrito vs Rentistas.

A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Cerrito average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Rentistas 1.6 and 1.4 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Cerrito vs Rentistas

On the goal lines Cerrito vs Rentistas reads 68% for over 1.5, 42% for over 2.5 and 21% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 58%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; BC.Game pay 1.64.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Cerrito score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for Rentistas; Rentistas score in 70% while Cerrito shut them out 30% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.1%, then 0-1 at 11.3% and 1-0 at 11%.

With the top scoreline at 13.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Cerrito vs Rentistas; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Rentistas, full-time Rentistas leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Cerrito vs Rentistas

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Cerrito vs Rentistas, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Cerrito to win34%2.82
Draw30%3.32
Rentistas to win36%2.49
Cerrito, draw no bet49%fair 2.04
Rentistas, draw no bet51%fair 1.96

Double chance

Cerrito or draw64%1.50
Rentistas or draw66%1.42
Cerrito or Rentistas (no draw)70%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.22
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.69
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.99
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Under 2.5 goals58%1.64
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27

BTTS

Both teams to score50%2.02
Not both teams to score50%1.82

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.53
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.48
Second-half goal73%fair 1.38

Team goals

Cerrito to score69%fair 1.46
Rentistas to score70%fair 1.43
Cerrito clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Rentistas clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Cerrito to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Rentistas to win to nil29%fair 3.47

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
0-111.3%
1-011%
0-09.4%
1-27.9%
2-17.6%

Half-time / full-time

Rentistas / Rentistas21.4%
Cerrito / Cerrito20.1%
Draw / Draw18%
Draw / Rentistas13.8%
Draw / Cerrito13.2%

Questions about Cerrito vs Rentistas

Who is favourite in Cerrito vs Rentistas?

The model gives Rentistas the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Cerrito vs Rentistas correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Cerrito vs Rentistas?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Cerrito find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Rentistas in 70%.

When is Cerrito vs Rentistas and where is the result shown?

Cerrito vs Rentistas starts at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Cerrito v RentistasCerrito or Rentistas (no draw), 70%
1.30Bet