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Live 13 UTC
Ukraine Premier League Round 10 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
ChornomoretsHomeDLLDW
0:0Half-time 0:0
KarpatyAwayDLDDW
142165
Chornomorets winDrawKarpaty win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.82
0.82 : 2.00
Favourite
65%
Karpaty
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Chornomorets vs Karpaty

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet6.554.541.481.772.051.931.80Bet
22Bet5.203.901.611.971.831.931.82Bet
BC.Game5.403.551.601.831.891.781.88Bet
Betwinner5.203.901.611.971.831.931.82Bet
Melbet5.453.641.681.881.921.811.91Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Karpaty to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Chornomorets vs Karpaty are 6.55 for Chornomorets at 1xBet, 4.54 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.68 for Karpaty at Melbet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 103.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.05 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (1xBet) and no 1.91 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

65%

Our prediction

Karpaty to win
BankerExpected goals 0.82 : 2.00+9.4% against the best price
Double chanceKarpaty or draw
86% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.97
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.91
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Karpaty, full-time Karpaty
42% chance2.36fair

Chornomorets vs Karpaty prediction

Our Chornomorets vs Karpaty prediction and pick

The Chornomorets vs Karpaty prediction leans to Karpaty: 65% against 14% for Chornomorets, with 21% left for the draw, in the Ukraine Premier League on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.82 in total, split 0.82 to Chornomorets and 2.00 to Karpaty. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 50%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is karpaty to win at 65%. The best price in our comparison is 1.68 at Melbet, which implies 60%, so the model sits 6 points above the market.

That gap is worth 9.4% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

For a safer line, karpaty or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.15.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Chornomorets average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Karpaty 1.0 and 1.0 across 5.

Chornomorets vs Karpaty goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.97 at Betwinner.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Chornomorets score in 56% of simulations against a 44% clean sheet for Karpaty; Karpaty score in 87% while Chornomorets shut them out 14% of the time.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 11.9%, then 0-2 at 11.9% and 1-1 at 9.8%.

With the top scoreline at 11.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Chornomorets vs Karpaty; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Karpaty, full-time Karpaty leads at 42%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Chornomorets vs Karpaty

The grid built from 0.82 and 2.00 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Chornomorets to win14%6.55
Draw21%4.54
Karpaty to win65%1.68
Chornomorets, draw no bet18%fair 5.59
Karpaty, draw no bet82%fair 1.22

Double chance

Chornomorets or draw35%2.68
Karpaty or draw86%1.15
Chornomorets or Karpaty (no draw)80%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.97
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.21
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 2.5 goals47%2.05
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45

BTTS

Both teams to score50%1.93
Not both teams to score51%1.91

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.76
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Chornomorets to score56%fair 1.79
Karpaty to score87%fair 1.16
Chornomorets clean sheet14%fair 7.41
Karpaty clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Chornomorets to win to nil13%fair 8.00
Karpaty to win to nil41%fair 2.47

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-111.9%
0-211.9%
1-19.8%
1-29.8%
0-37.9%
1-36.5%

Half-time / full-time

Karpaty / Karpaty42.3%
Draw / Karpaty19.8%
Draw / Draw12.7%
Chornomorets / Chornomorets7.8%
Draw / Chornomorets5.8%

Questions about Chornomorets vs Karpaty

Who is favourite in Chornomorets vs Karpaty?

The model gives Karpaty the best chance at 65%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Chornomorets vs Karpaty?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.

Chornomorets vs Karpaty both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Chornomorets find the net in 56% of simulated matches and Karpaty in 87%.

When is Chornomorets vs Karpaty and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Chornomorets v KarpatyKarpaty to win, 65%
1.68Bet