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Live 23 UTC
Uganda Premier League Round 9 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
NtugasazeHomeLWLLD
1:1Half-time 0:0
ExpressAwayDLDDD
202753
Ntugasaze winDrawExpress win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.43
0.86 : 1.57
Favourite
54%
Express
Over 2.5 goals
44%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Ntugasaze vs Express odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.323.301.742.061.651.921.75Bet
22Bet4.223.201.791.981.711.831.84Bet
BC.Game4.103.301.812.021.72--Bet
Betwinner4.223.201.791.981.711.831.84Bet
Melbet4.223.201.791.981.711.831.84Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Express to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Ntugasaze vs Express are 4.32 for Ntugasaze at 1xBet, 3.30 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.81 for Express at BC.Game.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.06 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.72 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.92 (1xBet) and no 1.84 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

54%

Our prediction

Express to win
StrongLostExpected goals 0.86 : 1.57-3% against the best price
Double chanceExpress or draw
81% chance1.17Won
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.72
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.84Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.25fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Express, full-time Express
33% chance3.01fairLost

Ntugasaze vs Express odds movement

Ntugasaze win4.32-0.28
Draw3.30-0.20
Express win1.81unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.06-0.04
Under 2.5 goals1.72unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Ntugasaze vs Express prediction

Ntugasaze vs Express prediction, who wins and at what price

The Ntugasaze vs Express prediction leans to Express: 54% against 20% for Ntugasaze, with 27% left for the draw, in the Uganda Premier League on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

Ntugasaze are expected to score 0.86 and Express 1.57, so the total line is 2.43 goals; over 2.5 lands at 44% and BTTS at 47%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Ntugasaze vs Express is express to win, a 54% chance. At 1.81 with BC.Game the market prices it at 55%, against 54% from the model.

For a safer line, express or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.17.

Over the last 5 matches Ntugasaze stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Express show 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Ntugasaze vs Express? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 70%, over 2.5 at 44%, over 3.5 at 23%; under 2.5 is 56% and under 3.5 is 77%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.72 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 47%: Ntugasaze find the net in 58% of simulated matches and Express in 79%. Ntugasaze keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Express 42%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.8%, followed by 1-1 (11.9%) and 0-2 (10.9%).

With the top scoreline at 13.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Ntugasaze vs Express; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Express, full-time Express is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.

All markets, Ntugasaze vs Express

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 20% / 27% / 54% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Ntugasaze to win20%4.32
Draw27%3.30
Express to win54%1.81
Ntugasaze, draw no bet27%fair 3.75
Express, draw no bet73%fair 1.36

Double chance

Ntugasaze or draw46%1.87
Express or draw81%1.17
Ntugasaze or Express (no draw)73%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%2.06
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.31
Under 2.5 goals56%1.72
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30

BTTS

Both teams to score47%1.92
Not both teams to score53%1.84

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.34
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36

Team goals

Ntugasaze to score58%fair 1.73
Express to score79%fair 1.26
Ntugasaze clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Express clean sheet42%fair 2.36
Ntugasaze to win to nil18%fair 5.59
Express to win to nil39%fair 2.57

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-113.8%
1-111.9%
0-210.9%
1-29.3%
0-08.8%
1-07.6%

Half-time / full-time

Express / Express33.2%
Draw / Express18.5%
Draw / Draw16.5%
Ntugasaze / Ntugasaze11.2%
Draw / Ntugasaze8.3%

Questions about Ntugasaze vs Express

Who will win Ntugasaze vs Express?

The model gives Express the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Ntugasaze vs Express correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Ntugasaze vs Express?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Ntugasaze find the net in 58% of simulated matches and Express in 79%.

What time does Ntugasaze vs Express kick off?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Ntugasaze v ExpressExpress to win, 54%
1.81Bet