Uganda Premier League
MaroonsHomeWDWD
v
Kigezi HomeBoyzAwayLLLL632314
Maroons winDrawKigezi HomeBoyz win
MaroonsHomeWDWDKigezi HomeBoyzAwayLLLL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.42 1.73 : 0.69
- Favourite
- 63% Maroons
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 41% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
63%
Our prediction
Maroons to win
1.60fair
Double chanceMaroons or draw
86% chance1.17fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.77fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
59% chance1.69fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.44fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.49fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Maroons, full-time Maroons
40% chance2.53fair
Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz prediction
Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz prediction and best bet
Maroons host Kigezi HomeBoyz on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Uganda Premier League, and the model has Maroons at 63%, the draw at 23% and Kigezi HomeBoyz at 14%: that is the Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.73 for Maroons and 0.69 for Kigezi HomeBoyz, a total of 2.42, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 41%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz is maroons to win, a 63% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, maroons or draw covers 86% of outcomes.
Maroons average 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded across their last 4, Kigezi HomeBoyz 0.2 and 1.8 across 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
On the goal lines Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 57%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%.
BTTS yes stands at 41%. Maroons score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Kigezi HomeBoyz; Kigezi HomeBoyz score in 50% while Maroons shut them out 50% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz: 1-0 (15.4%), 2-0 (13.3%) and 1-1 (10.6%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Maroons, full-time Maroons is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market for Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
The grid built from 1.73 and 0.69 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Maroons to win63%fair 1.60
Draw23%fair 4.33
Kigezi HomeBoyz to win14%fair 6.94
Maroons, draw no bet81%fair 1.23
Kigezi HomeBoyz, draw no bet19%fair 5.35
Double chance
Maroons or draw86%fair 1.17
Kigezi HomeBoyz or draw38%fair 2.67
Maroons or Kigezi HomeBoyz (no draw)77%fair 1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals44%fair 2.30
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.44
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.20
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.29
Under 2.5 goals57%fair 1.77
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29
BTTS
Both teams to score41%fair 2.44
Not both teams to score59%fair 1.69
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.37
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36
Team goals
Maroons to score82%fair 1.22
Kigezi HomeBoyz to score50%fair 2.01
Maroons clean sheet50%fair 1.99
Kigezi HomeBoyz clean sheet18%fair 5.65
Maroons to win to nil46%fair 2.17
Kigezi HomeBoyz to win to nil13%fair 7.58
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-015.4%
2-013.3%
1-110.6%
2-19.2%
0-08.9%
3-07.7%
Half-time / full-time
Maroons / Maroons39.5%
Draw / Maroons20.6%
Draw / Draw15.6%
Kigezi HomeBoyz / Kigezi HomeBoyz7.6%
Draw / Kigezi HomeBoyz6.1%
Questions about Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
Who is favourite in Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz?
The model gives Maroons the best chance at 63%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz?
The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. Maroons find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Kigezi HomeBoyz in 50%.
What time does Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz kick off?
Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.