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Live 11 UTC
Uganda Premier League Round 10 Tuesday, 3 November 2026 Kick-off
BULHomeDWWD
Tue 3 Nov
SC VillaAwayDWWDW
392734
BUL winDrawSC Villa win
Kick-off
Tue 3 Nov
Expected goals
2.45
1.28 : 1.17
Favourite
39%
BUL
Over 2.5 goals
44%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

BUL vs SC Villa odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.303.252.622.041.661.811.85Bet
Betwinner2.303.252.622.041.661.811.85Bet
Melbet2.303.252.622.041.661.811.85Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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BUL to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the BUL vs SC Villa prediction: BUL 2.30 (22Bet), draw 3.25 (22Bet), SC Villa 2.62 (22Bet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 89%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.04 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.66 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.81 (22Bet) and no 1.85 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

BUL or SC Villa (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.28 : 1.17-10.7% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.66
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time BUL, full-time BUL
23% chance4.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair

BUL vs SC Villa prediction

BUL vs SC Villa prediction and best bet

The BUL vs SC Villa prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Uganda Premier League on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 gives BUL a 39% chance, SC Villa 34% and the draw 27%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

BUL are expected to score 1.28 and SC Villa 1.17, so the total line is 2.45 goals; over 2.5 lands at 44% and BTTS at 50%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is bUL or SC Villa (no draw) at 73%. At 1.22 with Betwinner the market prices it at 82%, against 73% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: BUL have won 2 of their last 4 with 5 scored and 2 conceded, SC Villa 3 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 3.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in BUL vs SC Villa

Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 22Bet pay 1.66.

Both teams to score is 50%: BUL find the net in 72% of simulated matches and SC Villa in 69%. BUL keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and SC Villa 28%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.9%, then 1-0 at 11% and 0-1 at 10.1%.

With the top scoreline at 12.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for BUL vs SC Villa; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time BUL, full-time BUL is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.

Every market rated for BUL vs SC Villa

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 27% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

BUL to win39%2.30
Draw27%3.25
SC Villa to win34%2.62
BUL, draw no bet54%fair 1.87
SC Villa, draw no bet46%fair 2.16

Double chance

BUL or draw66%1.35
SC Villa or draw61%1.45
BUL or SC Villa (no draw)73%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.04
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.36
Under 2.5 goals56%1.66
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30

BTTS

Both teams to score50%1.81
Not both teams to score50%1.85

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.31
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

BUL to score72%fair 1.39
SC Villa to score69%fair 1.45
BUL clean sheet31%fair 3.23
SC Villa clean sheet28%fair 3.60
BUL to win to nil29%fair 3.50
SC Villa to win to nil26%fair 3.91

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
1-011%
0-110.1%
0-08.6%
2-18.3%
1-27.6%

Half-time / full-time

BUL / BUL22.8%
SC Villa / SC Villa19.3%
Draw / Draw17.3%
Draw / BUL14.2%
Draw / SC Villa12.6%

Questions about BUL vs SC Villa

BUL or SC Villa: which side does the model back?

The model gives BUL the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in BUL vs SC Villa?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in BUL vs SC Villa?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. BUL find the net in 72% of simulated matches and SC Villa in 69%.

When is BUL vs SC Villa and where is the result shown?

BUL vs SC Villa starts at 13:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, BUL v SC VillaBUL or SC Villa (no draw), 73%
1.22Bet