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Live 27 UTC
Uganda Premier League Round 10 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
ExpressHomeDLDDD
Thu 5 Nov
Blacks PowerAwayLLWDL
373033
Express winDrawBlacks Power win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
2.07
1.07 : 1.00
Favourite
37%
Express
Over 2.5 goals
34%
model chance
Both teams to score
42%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Express vs Blacks Power odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

70%

Our prediction

Express or Blacks Power (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.07 : 1.00
1.43fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
66% chance1.52fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.71fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
61% chance1.63fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
21% chance4.78fair
First halfFirst-half goal
61% chance1.65fair

Express vs Blacks Power prediction

Express vs Blacks Power prediction, who wins and at what price

The Express vs Blacks Power prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Uganda Premier League on Thursday, 5 November 2026 gives Express a 37% chance, Blacks Power 33% and the draw 30%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.07 in total, split 1.07 to Express and 1.00 to Blacks Power. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 34% and both teams to score 42%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Express vs Blacks Power is express or Blacks Power (no draw), a 70% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Express average 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Blacks Power 0.8 and 1.8 across 5.

A low-scoring Express vs Blacks Power? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 66% and under 3.5 84%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 61% and over 2.5 at 34%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 66%.

BTTS yes stands at 42%. Express score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for Blacks Power; Blacks Power score in 63% while Express shut them out 37% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.5%, then 1-1 at 13.5% and 0-0 at 12.6%.

With the top scoreline at 13.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Express vs Blacks Power; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 61%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Express vs Blacks Power

The grid built from 1.07 and 1.00 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Express to win37%fair 2.73
Draw30%fair 3.31
Blacks Power to win33%fair 3.01
Express, draw no bet52%fair 1.91
Blacks Power, draw no bet48%fair 2.10

Double chance

Express or draw67%fair 1.50
Blacks Power or draw63%fair 1.58
Express or Blacks Power (no draw)70%fair 1.43

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals61%fair 1.63
Over 2.5 goals34%fair 2.92
Over 3.5 goals16%fair 6.41
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 16.95
Under 1.5 goals39%fair 2.58
Under 2.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.18

BTTS

Both teams to score42%fair 2.40
Not both teams to score58%fair 1.71

Halves

First-half goal61%fair 1.65
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.18
Second-half goal68%fair 1.47

Team goals

Express to score66%fair 1.52
Blacks Power to score63%fair 1.58
Express clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Blacks Power clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Express to win to nil34%fair 2.97
Blacks Power to win to nil31%fair 3.28

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

1-013.5%
1-113.5%
0-012.6%
0-112.6%
2-07.2%
2-17.2%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw20.9%
Express / Express20.8%
Blacks Power / Blacks Power18.5%
Draw / Express14.3%
Draw / Blacks Power13.1%

Questions about Express vs Blacks Power

Express or Blacks Power: which side does the model back?

The model gives Express the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Express vs Blacks Power correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 34% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Express vs Blacks Power?

The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Express find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Blacks Power in 63%.

When is Express vs Blacks Power and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Express v Blacks PowerExpress or Blacks Power (no draw), 70%
1.43fair