Uganda Premier League
BULHomeDWWD
2:1Half-time 1:0
NECAwayDWLWW433918
BUL winDrawNEC win
BULHomeDWWDNECAwayDWLWW- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.93 1.19 : 0.74
- Favourite
- 43% BUL
- Over 2.5 goals
- 30% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 40% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for BUL vs NEC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.05 | 2.56 | 4.35 | 2.59 | 1.39 | 2.20 | 1.57 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
BUL to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the BUL vs NEC prediction: BUL 2.05 (1xBet), draw 2.56 (1xBet), NEC 4.35 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.59 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.39 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.20 (1xBet) and no 1.57 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
82%
Our prediction
BUL or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
70% chance1.39
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
58% chance1.74fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance5.78fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time BUL, full-time BUL
27% chance3.68fair
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.72fair
BUL vs NEC prediction
Our BUL vs NEC prediction and pick
BUL are marginally ahead in the BUL vs NEC prediction, rated 43% to win this Uganda Premier League match on Wednesday, 21 October 2026. NEC sit at 18% and the draw at 39%.
Expected goals are 1.19 for BUL and 0.74 for NEC, a total of 1.93, which puts over 2.5 goals at 30% and both teams to score at 40%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for BUL vs NEC is bUL or draw, a 82% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.14 at 1xBet, which implies 88%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 39%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 4 matches BUL stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; NEC show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in BUL vs NEC
On the goal lines BUL vs NEC reads 58% for over 1.5, 30% for over 2.5 and 13% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 70%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.39 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 40%. BUL score in 70% of simulations against a 30% clean sheet for NEC; NEC score in 52% while BUL shut them out 48% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 17.3%, then 0-0 at 14.5% and 1-1 at 12.8%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time BUL, full-time BUL leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 58%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for BUL vs NEC
The grid built from 1.19 and 0.74 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
BUL to win43%2.05
Draw39%2.56
NEC to win18%4.35
BUL, draw no bet70%fair 1.42
NEC, draw no bet30%fair 3.36
Double chance
BUL or draw82%1.14
NEC or draw57%1.61
BUL or NEC (no draw)61%1.39
Goals
Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals58%fair 1.74
Over 2.5 goals30%2.59
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 21.28
Under 1.5 goals43%fair 2.35
Under 2.5 goals70%1.39
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15
BTTS
Both teams to score40%2.20
Not both teams to score60%1.57
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.72
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.63
Second-half goal65%fair 1.53
Team goals
BUL to score70%fair 1.44
NEC to score52%fair 1.91
BUL clean sheet48%fair 2.10
NEC clean sheet30%fair 3.29
BUL to win to nil39%fair 2.54
NEC to win to nil17%fair 5.99
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-017.3%
0-014.5%
1-112.8%
0-110.7%
2-010.3%
2-17.6%
Half-time / full-time
BUL / BUL27.2%
Draw / Draw22.1%
Draw / BUL17.9%
NEC / NEC12.3%
Draw / NEC9.8%
Questions about BUL vs NEC
Who will win BUL vs NEC?
The model gives BUL the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 39%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in BUL vs NEC?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 30%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in BUL vs NEC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. BUL find the net in 70% of simulated matches and NEC in 52%.
When is BUL vs NEC and where is the result shown?
BUL vs NEC starts at 13:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.