Uganda Premier League
PoliceHomeLLDWW
Tue 3 Nov
KitaraAwayWWLLW352936
Police winDrawKitara win
PoliceHomeLLDWWKitaraAwayWWLLW- Kick-off Tue 3 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.13 1.06 : 1.07
- Favourite
- 36% Kitara
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 43% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Police vs Kitara
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.52 | 3.03 | 2.52 | 2.46 | 1.46 | 2.07 | 1.64 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.64 | 2.98 | 2.60 | 2.46 | 1.50 | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.52 | 3.03 | 2.52 | 2.46 | 1.46 | 2.07 | 1.64 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.52 | 3.03 | 2.52 | 2.46 | 1.46 | 2.07 | 1.64 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Kitara to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Police vs Kitara are 2.64 for Police at BC.Game, 3.03 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.60 for Kitara at BC.Game.
The best-price payout across the three results is 91.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.46 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.50 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.07 (22Bet) and no 1.64 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Police or Kitara (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.59fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
20% chance4.93fair
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.62fair
Police vs Kitara odds movement
Police win2.64+0.12
Draw3.03unchanged
Kitara win2.60+0.08
Over 2.5 goals2.46unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.50+0.04
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Police vs Kitara prediction
Police vs Kitara prediction and best bet
Police vs Kitara prediction for the Uganda Premier League on Tuesday, 3 November 2026: the model calls it close, Police 35%, draw 29%, Kitara 36%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Police are expected to score 1.06 and Kitara 1.07, so the total line is 2.13 goals; over 2.5 lands at 36% and BTTS at 43%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Police or Kitara (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Police vs Kitara.
Form check: Police have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 11 conceded, Kitara 3 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 7.
A low-scoring Police vs Kitara? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 63%, over 2.5 at 36%, over 3.5 at 17%; under 2.5 is 65% and under 3.5 is 83%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; BC.Game pay 1.50.
BTTS yes stands at 43%. Police score in 65% of simulations against a 35% clean sheet for Kitara; Kitara score in 66% while Police shut them out 34% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Police vs Kitara: 1-1 (13.5%), 0-1 (12.7%) and 1-0 (12.6%).
With the top scoreline at 13.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Police vs Kitara; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 20%. A goal before the break is rated 62%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Police vs Kitara
The grid built from 1.06 and 1.07 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Police to win35%2.64
Draw29%3.03
Kitara to win36%2.60
Police, draw no bet50%fair 2.02
Kitara, draw no bet50%fair 1.98
Double chance
Police or draw64%1.40
Kitara or draw65%1.39
Police or Kitara (no draw)71%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.59
Over 2.5 goals36%2.46
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.38
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 2.5 goals65%1.50
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score43%2.07
Not both teams to score57%1.64
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.02
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Police to score65%fair 1.53
Kitara to score66%fair 1.52
Police clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Kitara clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Police to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Kitara to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-113.5%
0-112.7%
1-012.6%
0-011.9%
1-27.2%
2-17.1%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw20.3%
Kitara / Kitara20.1%
Police / Police19.7%
Draw / Kitara13.8%
Draw / Police13.6%
Questions about Police vs Kitara
Who will win Police vs Kitara?
The model gives Kitara the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Police vs Kitara?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 36% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Police vs Kitara?
The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Police find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Kitara in 66%.
When is Police vs Kitara and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.