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Live 16 UTC
Ligi kuu Bara Round 11 Monday, 2 November 2026 Kick-off
SimbaHomeWWWWW
Mon 2 Nov
NamungoAwayWWW
9082
Simba winDrawNamungo win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
3.28
2.93 : 0.35
Favourite
90%
Simba
Over 2.5 goals
62%
model chance
Both teams to score
30%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Simba vs Namungo odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.029.1017.001.462.452.961.32Bet
22Bet1.029.1017.001.462.452.961.32Bet
Betwinner1.029.1017.001.462.452.961.32Bet
Melbet1.029.1017.001.462.452.961.32Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Simba to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Simba vs Namungo are 1.02 for Simba at 1xBet, 9.10 for the draw at 1xBet and 17.00 for Namungo at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 87%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.46 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.45 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.96 (1xBet) and no 1.32 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

90%

Our prediction

Simba to win
BankerExpected goals 2.93 : 0.35-8.3% against the best price
Double chanceSimba or draw
98% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.46
BTTSNot both teams to score
71% chance1.32
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
16% chance6.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Simba, full-time Simba
66% chance1.51fair

Simba vs Namungo odds movement

Simba win1.02-0.04
Draw9.10+1.86
Namungo win17.00unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.46-0.22
Under 2.5 goals2.45+0.44

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Simba vs Namungo prediction

Simba vs Namungo prediction, who wins and at what price

Simba are a strong favourite in the Simba vs Namungo prediction, rated 90% to win this Ligi kuu Bara match on Monday, 2 November 2026. Namungo sit at 2% and the draw at 8%.

Expected goals are 2.93 for Simba and 0.35 for Namungo, a total of 3.28, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 30%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Simba to win is the main selection, rated 90%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.02. That price implies 98%, 8 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Simba or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 98% chance, priced -.

With the draw down at 8%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Simba have won 5 of their last 5 with 18 scored and 3 conceded, Namungo 3 of 3 scoring 4 and conceding 1.

Simba vs Namungo over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 41%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 59%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.46 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 30%: Simba find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Namungo in 30%. Simba keep a clean sheet 71% of the time and Namungo 5%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 16.2%, then 3-0 at 15.8% and 4-0 at 11.6%.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Simba, full-time Simba is the top combination at 66%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.

All markets, Simba vs Namungo

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 90% / 8% / 2% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Simba to win90%1.02
Draw8%9.10
Namungo to win2%17.00
Simba, draw no bet97%fair 1.03
Namungo, draw no bet3%fair 38.46

Double chance

Simba or draw98%-
Namungo or draw10%5.93
Simba or Namungo (no draw)92%-

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals62%1.46
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.42
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.29
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 2.5 goals38%2.45
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.71

BTTS

Both teams to score30%2.96
Not both teams to score71%1.32

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.30
Second-half goal84%fair 1.20

Team goals

Simba to score95%fair 1.06
Namungo to score30%fair 3.39
Simba clean sheet71%fair 1.42
Namungo clean sheet5%fair 18.87
Simba to win to nil65%fair 1.54
Namungo to win to nil2%fair 45.45

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-016.2%
3-015.8%
4-011.6%
1-011%
5-06.8%
2-15.7%

Half-time / full-time

Simba / Simba66.3%
Draw / Simba20.6%
Draw / Draw6.1%
Namungo / Simba1.8%
Namungo / Draw1.3%

Questions about Simba vs Namungo

Who will win Simba vs Namungo?

The model gives Simba the best chance at 90%, with the draw at 8%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Simba vs Namungo correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 62%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Simba vs Namungo?

The BTTS yes line is rated 30%. Simba find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Namungo in 30%.

When is Simba vs Namungo and where is the result shown?

Simba vs Namungo starts at 16:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Simba v NamungoSimba to win, 90%
1.02Bet