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Live 31 UTC
Ligi kuu Bara Round 10 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
NamungoHomeWWW
1:0Half-time 1:0
Polisi TanzaniaAwayLDDLW
413029
Namungo winDrawPolisi Tanzania win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.18
1.20 : 0.98
Favourite
41%
Namungo
Over 2.5 goals
37%
model chance
Both teams to score
44%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.232.953.102.441.472.041.66Bet
22Bet2.552.763.062.581.452.251.57Bet
Betwinner2.552.763.062.581.452.251.57Bet
Melbet2.552.763.062.581.452.251.57Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Namungo to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Namungo price at 2.55, 1xBet lead the draw at 2.95 and 1xBet have Polisi Tanzania longest at 3.10.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.58 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.47 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.25 (22Bet) and no 1.66 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

71%

Our prediction

Namungo or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.20 : 0.98-6.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
63% chance1.47
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
64% chance1.56fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Namungo, full-time Namungo
24% chance4.20fair
First halfFirst-half goal
63% chance1.60fair

Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania prediction

Our Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania prediction and pick

Namungo are marginally ahead in the Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania prediction, rated 41% to win this Ligi kuu Bara match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Polisi Tanzania sit at 29% and the draw at 30%.

Expected goals are 1.20 for Namungo and 0.98 for Polisi Tanzania, a total of 2.18, which puts over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 44%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Namungo or draw is the main selection, rated 71%. At 1.32 with Betwinner the market prices it at 76%, against 71% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 3 matches Namungo stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Polisi Tanzania show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania reads 64% for over 1.5, 37% for over 2.5 and 18% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 63%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.47 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 44%, built from Namungo scoring in 70% of runs and Polisi Tanzania in 63%; clean sheets come at 38% for Namungo and 30% for Polisi Tanzania.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.6%, then 1-1 at 13.3% and 0-0 at 11.3%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Namungo, full-time Namungo leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 63%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Namungo to win41%2.55
Draw30%2.95
Polisi Tanzania to win29%3.10
Namungo, draw no bet59%fair 1.71
Polisi Tanzania, draw no bet42%fair 2.41

Double chance

Namungo or draw71%1.32
Polisi Tanzania or draw59%1.51
Namungo or Polisi Tanzania (no draw)70%1.39

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals64%fair 1.56
Over 2.5 goals37%2.58
Over 3.5 goals18%fair 5.65
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 14.29
Under 1.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Under 2.5 goals63%1.47
Under 3.5 goals82%fair 1.22

BTTS

Both teams to score44%2.25
Not both teams to score56%1.66

Halves

First-half goal63%fair 1.60
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.89
Second-half goal70%fair 1.43

Team goals

Namungo to score70%fair 1.43
Polisi Tanzania to score63%fair 1.60
Namungo clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Polisi Tanzania clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Namungo to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Polisi Tanzania to win to nil27%fair 3.75

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-013.6%
1-113.3%
0-011.3%
0-111.1%
2-08.1%
2-18%

Half-time / full-time

Namungo / Namungo23.8%
Draw / Draw19.7%
Polisi Tanzania / Polisi Tanzania16.7%
Draw / Namungo15.5%
Draw / Polisi Tanzania11.8%

Questions about Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania

Who is favourite in Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania?

The model gives Namungo the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 37%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Namungo find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Polisi Tanzania in 63%.

When do Namungo play Polisi Tanzania?

Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Namungo v Polisi TanzaniaNamungo or draw, 71%
1.32Bet