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Live 16 UTC
Ligi kuu Bara Round 11 Monday, 2 November 2026 HT
MashujaaHomeWLL
1:0Half-time 1:0
Pamba JijiAwayWDDL
532720
Mashujaa winDrawPamba Jiji win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
2.27
1.47 : 0.80
Favourite
53%
Mashujaa
Over 2.5 goals
39%
model chance
Both teams to score
44%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.763.164.462.311.522.091.63Bet
22Bet1.783.304.642.331.542.361.52Bet
Betwinner1.783.304.642.331.542.361.52Bet
Melbet1.783.304.642.331.542.361.52Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Mashujaa to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji prediction: Mashujaa 1.78 (22Bet), draw 3.30 (22Bet), Pamba Jiji 4.64 (22Bet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.33 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.54 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.36 (22Bet) and no 1.63 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

53%

Our prediction

Mashujaa to win
StrongExpected goals 1.47 : 0.80-5.5% against the best price
Double chanceMashujaa or draw
80% chance1.16
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.54
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.51fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mashujaa, full-time Mashujaa
32% chance3.11fair

Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji odds movement

Mashujaa win1.78-0.17
Draw3.30+0.26
Pamba Jiji win4.64+0.89
Over 2.5 goals2.33unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.54+0.02

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji prediction

Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji prediction and best bet

Mashujaa host Pamba Jiji on Monday, 2 November 2026 in the Ligi kuu Bara, and the model has Mashujaa at 53%, the draw at 27% and Pamba Jiji at 20%: that is the Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.27 in total, split 1.47 to Mashujaa and 0.80 to Pamba Jiji. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 39% and both teams to score 44%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Mashujaa to win is the main selection, rated 53%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.78. That price implies 56%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, mashujaa or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.16.

Over the last 3 matches Mashujaa stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Pamba Jiji show 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 4.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji

On the goal lines Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji reads 66% for over 1.5, 39% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 61%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 22Bet pay 1.54.

Both teams to score is 44%: Mashujaa find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Pamba Jiji in 55%. Mashujaa keep a clean sheet 45% of the time and Pamba Jiji 23%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15.2%, followed by 1-1 (12.1%) and 2-0 (11.2%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mashujaa, full-time Mashujaa leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji

The grid built from 1.47 and 0.80 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Mashujaa to win53%1.78
Draw27%3.30
Pamba Jiji to win20%4.64
Mashujaa, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
Pamba Jiji, draw no bet27%fair 3.70

Double chance

Mashujaa or draw80%1.16
Pamba Jiji or draw47%1.93
Mashujaa or Pamba Jiji (no draw)73%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.51
Over 2.5 goals39%2.33
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.50
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.96
Under 2.5 goals61%1.54
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.24

BTTS

Both teams to score44%2.36
Not both teams to score56%1.63

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.68
Second-half goal71%fair 1.40

Team goals

Mashujaa to score77%fair 1.30
Pamba Jiji to score55%fair 1.81
Mashujaa clean sheet45%fair 2.23
Pamba Jiji clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Mashujaa to win to nil41%fair 2.42
Pamba Jiji to win to nil18%fair 5.56

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-015.2%
1-112.1%
2-011.2%
0-010.3%
2-18.9%
0-18.3%

Half-time / full-time

Mashujaa / Mashujaa32.2%
Draw / Mashujaa18.7%
Draw / Draw18%
Pamba Jiji / Pamba Jiji11%
Draw / Pamba Jiji8.4%

Questions about Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji

Mashujaa or Pamba Jiji: which side does the model back?

The model gives Mashujaa the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 39%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji?

The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Mashujaa find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Pamba Jiji in 55%.

When do Mashujaa play Pamba Jiji?

Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji starts at 13:15 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Mashujaa v Pamba JijiMashujaa to win, 53%
1.78Bet