Simba vs 15 de Agosto prediction

Simba vs 15 de Agosto prediction and best bet

Simba are a strong favourite in the Simba vs 15 de Agosto prediction, rated 82% to win this CAF Champions League match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. 15 de Agosto sit at 7% and the draw at 12%.

Expected goals are 3.11 for Simba and 0.79 for 15 de Agosto, a total of 3.90, which puts over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 52%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Simba vs 15 de Agosto is simba to win, a 82% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Simba or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 93% chance.

With the draw down at 12%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Simba have won 5 of their last 5 with 18 scored and 3 conceded, 15 de Agosto 1 of 3 scoring 2 and conceding 9.

Goals forecast for Simba vs 15 de Agosto with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 27% and under 3.5 46%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 90% and over 2.5 at 73%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 73%.

Both teams to score is 52%: Simba find the net in 96% of simulated matches and 15 de Agosto in 55%. Simba keep a clean sheet 45% of the time and 15 de Agosto 5%.

Correct score: 3-0 leads at 10.1%, then 2-0 at 9.8% and 3-1 at 8%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Simba, full-time Simba is the top combination at 61%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 83%.