Ligi kuu Bara
Fountain GateHomeLDDL
0:1Half-time 0:1
SimbaAwayWWWWW202555
Fountain Gate winDrawSimba win
Fountain GateHomeLDDLSimbaAwayWWWWW- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.45 0.85 : 1.60
- Favourite
- 55% Simba
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Fountain Gate vs Simba odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
55%
Our prediction
Simba to win
1.81fair
Double chanceSimba or draw
80% chance1.25fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.80fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.84fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Simba, full-time Simba
34% chance2.94fair
Fountain Gate vs Simba prediction
Fountain Gate vs Simba prediction and best bet
The Fountain Gate vs Simba prediction leans to Simba: 55% against 20% for Fountain Gate, with 25% left for the draw, in the Ligi kuu Bara on Thursday, 29 October 2026.
Expected goals are 0.85 for Fountain Gate and 1.60 for Simba, a total of 2.45, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 46%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Simba to win is the main selection, rated 55%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, simba or draw covers 80% of outcomes.
Fountain Gate average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 4, Simba 3.6 and 0.6 across 5.
A low-scoring Fountain Gate vs Simba? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 70%, over 2.5 at 44%, over 3.5 at 23%; under 2.5 is 56% and under 3.5 is 77%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from Fountain Gate scoring in 57% of runs and Simba in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for Fountain Gate and 43% for Simba.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.8%, followed by 1-1 (11.7%) and 0-2 (11%).
With the top scoreline at 13.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Fountain Gate vs Simba; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Simba, full-time Simba is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
All markets, Fountain Gate vs Simba
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 20% / 25% / 55% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Fountain Gate to win20%fair 5.05
Draw25%fair 4.00
Simba to win55%fair 1.81
Fountain Gate, draw no bet26%fair 3.79
Simba, draw no bet74%fair 1.36
Double chance
Fountain Gate or draw45%fair 2.23
Simba or draw80%fair 1.25
Fountain Gate or Simba (no draw)75%fair 1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%fair 2.25
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.36
Under 2.5 goals56%fair 1.80
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score46%fair 2.19
Not both teams to score54%fair 1.84
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.31
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Fountain Gate to score57%fair 1.75
Simba to score80%fair 1.25
Fountain Gate clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Simba clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Fountain Gate to win to nil18%fair 5.49
Simba to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-113.8%
1-111.7%
0-211%
1-29.4%
0-08.6%
1-07.3%
Half-time / full-time
Simba / Simba34%
Draw / Simba18.7%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Fountain Gate / Fountain Gate10.8%
Draw / Fountain Gate8%
Questions about Fountain Gate vs Simba
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Simba?
The model gives Simba the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Fountain Gate vs Simba?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Fountain Gate vs Simba both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Fountain Gate find the net in 57% of simulated matches and Simba in 80%.
What time does Fountain Gate vs Simba kick off?
Kick-off is 13:15 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.