15 de Agosto vs Simba prediction

Our 15 de Agosto vs Simba prediction and pick

The 15 de Agosto vs Simba prediction leans to Simba: 87% against 3% for 15 de Agosto, with 10% left for the draw, in the CAF Champions League on Wednesday, 21 October 2026.

Expected goals are 0.40 for 15 de Agosto and 2.82 for Simba, a total of 3.22, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 32%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for 15 de Agosto vs Simba is simba to win, a 87% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.09. That price implies 92%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on 15 de Agosto vs Simba.

Simba or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 97% chance, priced -.

The draw sits at only 10%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: 15 de Agosto have won 1 of their last 3 with 2 scored and 9 conceded, Simba 5 of 5 scoring 18 and conceding 3.

15 de Agosto vs Simba over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines 15 de Agosto vs Simba reads 83% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 40% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 1xBet pay 1.54.

Both teams to score is 32%: 15 de Agosto find the net in 33% of simulated matches and Simba in 94%. 15 de Agosto keep a clean sheet 6% of the time and Simba 67%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.

Correct score: 0-2 leads at 15.9%, then 0-3 at 14.9% and 0-1 at 11.3%.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Simba, full-time Simba is the top combination at 64%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.