Ligi kuu Bara
Young AfricansHomeWWDWW
4:0Half-time 2:0
Kagera SugarAwayWDLLL9271
Young Africans winDrawKagera Sugar win
Young AfricansHomeWWDWWKagera SugarAwayWDLLL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.45 3.10 : 0.35
- Favourite
- 92% Young Africans
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 30% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.05 | 7.80 | 26.00 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 2.97 | 1.33 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.09 | 8.95 | 21.00 | 1.39 | 2.75 | 2.95 | 1.35 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.09 | 8.95 | 21.00 | 1.39 | 2.75 | 2.95 | 1.35 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.09 | 8.95 | 21.00 | 1.39 | 2.75 | 2.95 | 1.35 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Young Africans to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar prediction: Young Africans 1.09 (22Bet), draw 8.95 (22Bet), Kagera Sugar 26.00 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.39 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.97 (1xBet) and no 1.35 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
92%
Our prediction
Young Africans to win
Double chanceYoung Africans or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSNot both teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
16% chance6.33fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Young Africans, full-time Young Africans
68% chance1.46fairWon
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar odds movement
Young Africans win1.09-0.01
Draw8.95-1.05
Kagera Sugar win26.00-8.00
Over 2.5 goals1.39-0.11
Under 2.5 goals2.75unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar prediction
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar prediction and best bet
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar prediction for the Ligi kuu Bara on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Young Africans a strong favourite at 92%, with the draw at 7% and Kagera Sugar at 2%.
Expected goals are 3.10 for Young Africans and 0.35 for Kagera Sugar, a total of 3.45, which puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 30%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is young Africans to win at 92%. At 1.09 with 22Bet the market prices it at 92%, against 92% from the model.
Young Africans or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 99% chance, priced -.
The draw sits at only 7%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: Young Africans have won 4 of their last 5 with 14 scored and 2 conceded, Kagera Sugar 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 8.
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 55%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 65%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 22Bet pay 1.39.
Both teams to score is 30%: Young Africans find the net in 96% of simulated matches and Kagera Sugar in 30%. Young Africans keep a clean sheet 71% of the time and Kagera Sugar 5%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.
Correct score: 3-0 leads at 15.8%, then 2-0 at 15.3% and 4-0 at 12.2%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Young Africans, full-time Young Africans leads at 68%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 92% / 7% / 2% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Young Africans to win92%1.09
Draw7%8.95
Kagera Sugar to win2%26.00
Young Africans, draw no bet98%fair 1.02
Kagera Sugar, draw no bet2%fair 62.50
Double chance
Young Africans or draw99%-
Kagera Sugar or draw8%6.28
Young Africans or Kagera Sugar (no draw)94%1.03
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.39
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 2.5 goals35%2.75
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.82
BTTS
Both teams to score30%2.97
Not both teams to score70%1.35
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.17
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Young Africans to score96%fair 1.05
Kagera Sugar to score30%fair 3.39
Young Africans clean sheet71%fair 1.42
Kagera Sugar clean sheet5%fair 22.22
Young Africans to win to nil65%fair 1.54
Kagera Sugar to win to nil1%fair 71.43
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
3-015.8%
2-015.3%
4-012.2%
1-09.8%
5-07.6%
3-15.5%
Half-time / full-time
Young Africans / Young Africans68.4%
Draw / Young Africans19.8%
Draw / Draw5.3%
Kagera Sugar / Young Africans1.8%
Kagera Sugar / Draw1.2%
Questions about Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar
Who is favourite in Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar?
The model gives Young Africans the best chance at 92%, with the draw at 7%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar?
3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 30%. Young Africans find the net in 96% of simulated matches and Kagera Sugar in 30%.
What time does Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar kick off?
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar starts at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.