Ligi kuu Bara
Polisi TanzaniaHomeLDDLW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Geita GoldAwayLLDDL502822
Polisi Tanzania winDrawGeita Gold win
Polisi TanzaniaHomeLDDLWGeita GoldAwayLLDDL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.31 1.44 : 0.87
- Favourite
- 50% Polisi Tanzania
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.00 | 3.92 | 2.29 | 1.53 | 2.01 | 1.68 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.92 | 3.00 | 3.92 | 2.29 | 1.53 | 2.01 | 1.69 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.92 | 3.00 | 3.92 | 2.29 | 1.53 | 2.01 | 1.69 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.92 | 3.00 | 3.92 | 2.29 | 1.53 | 2.01 | 1.69 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Polisi Tanzania to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold prediction: Polisi Tanzania 1.92 (22Bet), draw 3.00 (22Bet), Geita Gold 3.92 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.29 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.53 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.01 (22Bet) and no 1.69 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
78%
Our prediction
Polisi Tanzania or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.53
BTTSNot both teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.49fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance6.99fairWon
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Polisi Tanzania, full-time Polisi Tanzania
30% chance3.29fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.55fairLost
Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold odds movement
Polisi Tanzania win1.92unchanged
Draw3.00-0.10
Geita Gold win3.92-0.18
Over 2.5 goals2.29-0.09
Under 2.5 goals1.53unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold prediction
Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold prediction and best bet
Polisi Tanzania host Geita Gold on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Ligi kuu Bara, and the model has Polisi Tanzania at 50%, the draw at 28% and Geita Gold at 22%: that is the Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.44 for Polisi Tanzania and 0.87 for Geita Gold, a total of 2.31, which puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 46%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Polisi Tanzania or draw is the main selection, rated 78%. At 1.17 with 1xBet the market prices it at 85%, against 78% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Polisi Tanzania stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Geita Gold show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 67%, over 2.5 at 40%, over 3.5 at 20%; under 2.5 is 60% and under 3.5 is 80%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.53 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from Polisi Tanzania scoring in 76% of runs and Geita Gold in 58%; clean sheets come at 42% for Polisi Tanzania and 24% for Geita Gold.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.3%, then 1-1 at 12.4% and 2-0 at 10.3%.
With the top scoreline at 14.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Polisi Tanzania, full-time Polisi Tanzania leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold
The grid built from 1.44 and 0.87 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Polisi Tanzania to win50%1.92
Draw28%3.00
Geita Gold to win22%3.92
Polisi Tanzania, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Geita Gold, draw no bet30%fair 3.30
Double chance
Polisi Tanzania or draw78%1.17
Geita Gold or draw50%1.70
Polisi Tanzania or Geita Gold (no draw)72%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.29
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 4.93
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.76
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.04
Under 2.5 goals60%1.53
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score46%2.01
Not both teams to score54%1.69
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.55
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.58
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39
Team goals
Polisi Tanzania to score76%fair 1.31
Geita Gold to score58%fair 1.72
Polisi Tanzania clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Geita Gold clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Polisi Tanzania to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Geita Gold to win to nil20%fair 5.00
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.3%
1-112.4%
2-010.3%
0-09.9%
2-19%
0-18.6%
Half-time / full-time
Polisi Tanzania / Polisi Tanzania30.4%
Draw / Polisi Tanzania17.9%
Draw / Draw17.9%
Geita Gold / Geita Gold12.4%
Draw / Geita Gold9.2%
Questions about Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold
Who will win Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold?
The model gives Polisi Tanzania the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 40%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Polisi Tanzania find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Geita Gold in 58%.
When is Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.