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Live 26 UTC
Ligi kuu Bara Round 9 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Geita GoldHomeLLDDL
1:1Half-time 0:1
Fountain GateAwayLDDL
512623
Geita Gold winDrawFountain Gate win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.48
1.54 : 0.94
Favourite
51%
Geita Gold
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

51%

Our prediction

Geita Gold to win
LeanExpected goals 1.54 : 0.94
1.95fair
Double chanceGeita Gold or draw
77% chance1.30fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.82fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.92fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Geita Gold, full-time Geita Gold
31% chance3.19fair

Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate prediction

Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate prediction, who wins and at what price

Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate prediction for the Ligi kuu Bara on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Geita Gold a narrow favourite at 51%, with the draw at 26% and Fountain Gate at 23%.

The goal expectancy is 2.48 in total, split 1.54 to Geita Gold and 0.94 to Fountain Gate. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 48%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Geita Gold to win is the main selection, rated 51%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Geita Gold or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance.

Geita Gold average 0.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Fountain Gate 0.8 and 1.2 across 4.

A low-scoring Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Geita Gold scoring in 79% of runs and Fountain Gate in 61%; clean sheets come at 39% for Geita Gold and 21% for Fountain Gate.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate: 1-0 (12.9%), 1-1 (12.1%) and 2-0 (9.9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Geita Gold, full-time Geita Gold is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.

Every market rated for Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 51% / 26% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Geita Gold to win51%fair 1.95
Draw26%fair 3.89
Fountain Gate to win23%fair 4.33
Geita Gold, draw no bet69%fair 1.45
Fountain Gate, draw no bet31%fair 3.22

Double chance

Geita Gold or draw77%fair 1.30
Fountain Gate or draw49%fair 2.05
Geita Gold or Fountain Gate (no draw)74%fair 1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 2.5 goals55%fair 1.82
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score48%fair 2.09
Not both teams to score52%fair 1.92

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.26
Second-half goal74%fair 1.34

Team goals

Geita Gold to score79%fair 1.27
Fountain Gate to score61%fair 1.64
Geita Gold clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Fountain Gate clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Geita Gold to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Fountain Gate to win to nil20%fair 5.08

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-012.9%
1-112.1%
2-09.9%
2-19.3%
0-08.4%
0-17.9%

Half-time / full-time

Geita Gold / Geita Gold31.3%
Draw / Geita Gold17.6%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Fountain Gate / Fountain Gate12.7%
Draw / Fountain Gate9.1%

Questions about Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate

Who is favourite in Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate?

The model gives Geita Gold the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.

Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Geita Gold find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Fountain Gate in 61%.

What time does Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate kick off?

Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Geita Gold v Fountain GateGeita Gold to win, 51%
1.95fair