Ligi kuu Bara
Polisi TanzaniaHomeLDDLW
1:1Half-time 1:1
Pamba JijiAwayWDDL472825
Polisi Tanzania winDrawPamba Jiji win
Polisi TanzaniaHomeLDDLWPamba JijiAwayWDDL- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.47 1.47 : 1.00
- Favourite
- 47% Polisi Tanzania
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.08 | 3.40 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.84 | 1.83 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Polisi Tanzania to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji are 2.04 for Polisi Tanzania at 1xBet, 3.08 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.40 for Pamba Jiji at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.08 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.64 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.84 (1xBet) and no 1.83 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
Polisi Tanzania or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.64
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Polisi Tanzania, full-time Polisi Tanzania
29% chance3.46fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji prediction
Our Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji prediction and pick
Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji prediction for the Ligi kuu Bara on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Polisi Tanzania marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 28% and Pamba Jiji at 25%.
The goal expectancy is 2.47 in total, split 1.47 to Polisi Tanzania and 1.00 to Pamba Jiji. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is polisi Tanzania or draw at 75%. At 1.23 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 75% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji.
Polisi Tanzania average 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Pamba Jiji 1.5 and 0.8 across 4.
A low-scoring Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.64.
The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Polisi Tanzania scoring in 77% of runs and Pamba Jiji in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for Polisi Tanzania and 23% for Pamba Jiji.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji: 1-0 (12.4%), 1-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (9.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Polisi Tanzania, full-time Polisi Tanzania is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market rated for Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Polisi Tanzania to win47%2.04
Draw28%3.08
Pamba Jiji to win25%3.40
Polisi Tanzania, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Pamba Jiji, draw no bet34%fair 2.91
Double chance
Polisi Tanzania or draw75%1.23
Pamba Jiji or draw53%1.62
Polisi Tanzania or Pamba Jiji (no draw)72%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%2.08
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals55%1.64
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.84
Not both teams to score50%1.83
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Polisi Tanzania to score77%fair 1.30
Pamba Jiji to score63%fair 1.58
Polisi Tanzania clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Pamba Jiji clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Polisi Tanzania to win to nil34%fair 2.96
Pamba Jiji to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-012.4%
1-112.4%
2-09.1%
2-19.1%
0-08.5%
0-18.5%
Half-time / full-time
Polisi Tanzania / Polisi Tanzania28.9%
Draw / Polisi Tanzania16.8%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Pamba Jiji / Pamba Jiji14.3%
Draw / Pamba Jiji10%
Questions about Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji
Who will win Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji?
The model gives Polisi Tanzania the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Polisi Tanzania find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Pamba Jiji in 63%.
When is Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.