FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 prediction

Our FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 prediction and pick

FC Thun host FC Basel 1893 on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Super League, and the model has FC Thun at 45%, the draw at 23% and FC Basel 1893 at 32%: that is the FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 prediction in one line.

FC Thun are expected to score 1.98 and FC Basel 1893 1.67, so the total line is 3.65 goals; over 2.5 lands at 70% and BTTS at 71%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is fC Thun or FC Basel 1893 (no draw) at 77%. Stake offer the top price at 1.23. That price implies 81%, 5 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches FC Thun stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; FC Basel 1893 show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 30% and under 3.5 51%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 70%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.39 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 71%: FC Thun find the net in 86% of simulated matches and FC Basel 1893 in 81%. FC Thun keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and FC Basel 1893 14%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893: 1-1 (8.6%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Thun, full-time FC Thun is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.