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2:1Half-time 2:1
FC Basel 1893AwayLLWDL651817
FC Lugano winDrawFC Basel 1893 win
FC LuganoHomeWWWWWFC Basel 1893AwayLLWDL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.58 2.42 : 1.16
- Favourite
- 65% FC Lugano
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.53 | 4.60 | 5.01 | 1.38 | 2.62 | 1.49 | 2.44 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.49 | 4.70 | 5.45 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.49 | 4.60 | 5.40 | 1.46 | 2.58 | 1.56 | 2.26 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.49 | 4.70 | 5.45 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.49 | 4.70 | 5.45 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Lugano to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best FC Lugano price at 1.53, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.70 and 22Bet have FC Basel 1893 longest at 5.45.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.46 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.63 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (22Bet) and no 2.44 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
65%
Our prediction
FC Lugano to win
Double chanceFC Lugano or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.53fairWon
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Lugano, full-time FC Lugano
44% chance2.30fairWon
FC Lugano v FC Basel 1893 head to head
1FC Lugano wins
0Draws
0FC Basel 1893 wins
- 6 Sep 26FC Basel 18931:3FC Lugano
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: FC Lugano scored 3, FC Basel 1893 scored 1.
FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 odds movement
FC Lugano win1.53unchanged
Draw4.70-0.42
FC Basel 1893 win5.45-0.05
Over 2.5 goals1.46unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.63-0.23
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 prediction
Our FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 prediction and pick
FC Lugano are the clear favourite in the FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 prediction, rated 65% to win this Super League match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. FC Basel 1893 sit at 17% and the draw at 18%.
The goal expectancy is 3.58 in total, split 2.42 to FC Lugano and 1.16 to FC Basel 1893. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 69% and both teams to score 63%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is fC Lugano to win at 65%. At 1.53 with 1xBet the market prices it at 65%, against 65% from the model.
For a safer line, fC Lugano or draw covers 83% of outcomes at 1.15.
The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: FC Lugano have won 5 of their last 5 with 17 scored and 7 conceded, FC Basel 1893 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 8.
Goals forecast for FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 87%, over 2.5 at 69%, over 3.5 at 48%; under 2.5 is 31% and under 3.5 is 52%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%; BC.Game pay 1.46.
The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from FC Lugano scoring in 91% of runs and FC Basel 1893 in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for FC Lugano and 9% for FC Basel 1893.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.5%, then 2-0 at 8.2% and 1-1 at 7.8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Lugano, full-time FC Lugano is the top combination at 44%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
Every market rated for FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 65% / 18% / 17% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
FC Lugano to win65%1.53
Draw18%4.70
FC Basel 1893 to win17%5.45
FC Lugano, draw no bet79%fair 1.26
FC Basel 1893, draw no bet21%fair 4.81
Double chance
FC Lugano or draw83%1.15
FC Basel 1893 or draw35%2.52
FC Lugano or FC Basel 1893 (no draw)82%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.46
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.08
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 2.5 goals31%2.63
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.92
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.59
Not both teams to score37%2.44
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.09
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
FC Lugano to score91%fair 1.10
FC Basel 1893 to score69%fair 1.46
FC Lugano clean sheet31%fair 3.19
FC Basel 1893 clean sheet9%fair 11.24
FC Lugano to win to nil29%fair 3.47
FC Basel 1893 to win to nil8%fair 12.20
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.5%
2-08.2%
1-17.8%
3-17.6%
1-06.7%
3-06.6%
Half-time / full-time
FC Lugano / FC Lugano43.5%
Draw / FC Lugano17.7%
Draw / Draw9.4%
FC Basel 1893 / FC Basel 18939.3%
Draw / FC Basel 18935.9%
Questions about FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano or FC Basel 1893: which side does the model back?
The model gives FC Lugano the best chance at 65%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 69%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. FC Lugano find the net in 91% of simulated matches and FC Basel 1893 in 69%.
What time does FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 kick off?
Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.