Super League
FC ST. GallenHomeWWWLW
Sun 8 Nov
FC LuganoAwayWWWWW392437
FC ST. Gallen winDrawFC Lugano win
FC ST. GallenHomeWWWLWFC LuganoAwayWWWWW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.40 1.71 : 1.69
- Favourite
- 39% FC ST. Gallen
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.82 | 2.74 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.40 | 2.73 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.26 | 3.82 | 2.74 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.40 | 2.73 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.26 | 3.70 | 2.74 | 1.47 | 2.52 | 1.40 | 2.64 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.26 | 3.82 | 2.74 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.40 | 2.73 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.26 | 3.82 | 2.74 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.40 | 2.73 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC ST. Gallen to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best FC ST. Gallen price at 2.26, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.82 and BC.Game have FC Lugano longest at 2.74.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.47 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.52 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.40 (BC.Game) and no 2.73 (Betwinner).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
77%
Our prediction
FC ST. Gallen or FC Lugano (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.47
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.40
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.42fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC ST. Gallen, full-time FC ST. Gallen
24% chance4.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.28fair
FC ST. Gallen v FC Lugano head to head
0FC ST. Gallen wins
0Draws
1FC Lugano wins
- 16 Sep 26FC Lugano4:1FC ST. Gallen
1 meeting since coverage began, 5 goals in total: FC ST. Gallen scored 1, FC Lugano scored 4.
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano prediction
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano prediction and best bet
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano prediction for the Super League on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model calls it close, FC ST. Gallen 39%, draw 24%, FC Lugano 38%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
FC ST. Gallen are expected to score 1.71 and FC Lugano 1.69, so the total line is 3.40 goals; over 2.5 lands at 66% and BTTS at 68%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is fC ST. Gallen or FC Lugano (no draw) at 77%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.24. That price implies 81%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: FC ST. Gallen have won 4 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 4 conceded, FC Lugano 5 of 5 scoring 17 and conceding 7.
Goals forecast for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 66%, over 3.5 at 44%; under 2.5 is 34% and under 3.5 is 56%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; BC.Game pay 1.47.
The chance of both teams scoring is 68%, built from FC ST. Gallen scoring in 82% of runs and FC Lugano in 82%; clean sheets come at 19% for FC ST. Gallen and 18% for FC Lugano.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.6%, then 2-1 at 8.2% and 1-2 at 8.1%.
With the top scoreline at 9.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC ST. Gallen, full-time FC ST. Gallen leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano
The grid built from 1.71 and 1.69 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
FC ST. Gallen to win39%2.26
Draw24%3.82
FC Lugano to win38%2.74
FC ST. Gallen, draw no bet51%fair 1.98
FC Lugano, draw no bet50%fair 2.02
Double chance
FC ST. Gallen or draw62%1.42
FC Lugano or draw61%1.60
FC ST. Gallen or FC Lugano (no draw)77%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.47
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.26
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.80
Under 2.5 goals34%2.52
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.79
BTTS
Both teams to score68%1.40
Not both teams to score32%2.73
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.21
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
FC ST. Gallen to score82%fair 1.22
FC Lugano to score82%fair 1.23
FC ST. Gallen clean sheet19%fair 5.41
FC Lugano clean sheet18%fair 5.52
FC ST. Gallen to win to nil17%fair 5.88
FC Lugano to win to nil17%fair 6.02
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.6%
2-18.2%
1-28.1%
2-27%
1-05.7%
0-15.6%
Half-time / full-time
FC ST. Gallen / FC ST. Gallen23.7%
FC Lugano / FC Lugano23.1%
Draw / FC ST. Gallen12.4%
Draw / FC Lugano12.2%
Draw / Draw11.7%
Questions about FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen or FC Lugano: which side does the model back?
The model gives FC ST. Gallen the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 24%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 66%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. FC ST. Gallen find the net in 82% of simulated matches and FC Lugano in 82%.
When is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.