Primera División RFEF - Group 2
GimnasticHomeLLDWW
4:2Half-time 4:1
HérculesAwayDWLLW363133
Gimnastic winDrawHércules win
GimnasticHomeLLDWWHérculesAwayDWLLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.30 1.19 : 1.11
- Favourite
- 36% Gimnastic
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Gimnastic vs Hércules
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.52 | 3.04 | 2.55 | 2.18 | 1.58 | 1.87 | 1.82 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.55 | 3.33 | 2.66 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 1.93 | 1.82 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.58 | 3.05 | 2.62 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 1.85 | 1.79 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.55 | 3.33 | 2.66 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 1.93 | 1.82 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.55 | 3.33 | 2.66 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 1.93 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Gimnastic to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Gimnastic price at 2.58, Betwinner lead the draw at 3.33 and Betwinner have Hércules longest at 2.66.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.22 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.62 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (Betwinner) and no 1.82 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
69%
Our prediction
Gimnastic or Hércules (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.49fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Gimnastic, full-time Gimnastic
22% chance4.59fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.55fair
Gimnastic vs Hércules odds movement
Gimnastic win2.58-0.17
Draw3.33unchanged
Hércules win2.66-0.08
Over 2.5 goals2.22-0.05
Under 2.5 goals1.62unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Gimnastic vs Hércules prediction
Gimnastic vs Hércules prediction and best bet
Gimnastic vs Hércules prediction for the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model calls it close, Gimnastic 36%, draw 31%, Hércules 32%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
The goal expectancy is 2.30 in total, split 1.19 to Gimnastic and 1.11 to Hércules. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 40% and both teams to score 48%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is gimnastic or Hércules (no draw) at 69%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 8 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Gimnastic average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Hércules 1.0 and 1.2 across 5.
A low-scoring Gimnastic vs Hércules? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Gimnastic vs Hércules reads 67% for over 1.5, 40% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 60%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.62 at BC.Game.
Both teams to score is 48%: Gimnastic find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Hércules in 67%. Gimnastic keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Hércules 30%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.2%, then 1-0 at 11.9% and 0-1 at 11.1%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Gimnastic, full-time Gimnastic leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Gimnastic vs Hércules
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 31% / 32% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Gimnastic to win36%2.58
Draw31%3.33
Hércules to win32%2.66
Gimnastic, draw no bet53%fair 1.89
Hércules, draw no bet47%fair 2.12
Double chance
Gimnastic or draw68%1.44
Hércules or draw64%1.48
Gimnastic or Hércules (no draw)69%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.22
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 11.90
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.02
Under 2.5 goals60%1.62
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.93
Not both teams to score52%1.82
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.55
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.61
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39
Team goals
Gimnastic to score70%fair 1.44
Hércules to score67%fair 1.49
Gimnastic clean sheet33%fair 3.03
Hércules clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Gimnastic to win to nil30%fair 3.30
Hércules to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.2%
1-011.9%
0-111.1%
0-010%
2-17.9%
1-27.3%
Half-time / full-time
Gimnastic / Gimnastic21.8%
Hércules / Hércules19.3%
Draw / Draw18.6%
Draw / Gimnastic14.2%
Draw / Hércules12.9%
Questions about Gimnastic vs Hércules
Gimnastic or Hércules: which side does the model back?
The model gives Gimnastic the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Gimnastic vs Hércules?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 40%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Gimnastic vs Hércules both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Gimnastic find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Hércules in 67%.
What time does Gimnastic vs Hércules kick off?
Kick-off is 17:45 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.