Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Real JaénHomeLDDWD
Mon 2 Nov
AlgecirasAwayWWLWW432829
Real Jaén winDrawAlgeciras win
Real JaénHomeLDDWDAlgecirasAwayWWLWW- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.44 1.36 : 1.08
- Favourite
- 43% Real Jaén
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Real Jaén vs Algeciras betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.04 | 3.12 | 2.10 | 1.63 | 1.83 | 1.86 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.10 | 3.13 | 3.23 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.86 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.08 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.81 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.10 | 3.13 | 3.23 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.10 | 3.13 | 3.23 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.86 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Real Jaén to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Real Jaén vs Algeciras prediction: Real Jaén 2.19 (1xBet), draw 3.20 (BC.Game), Algeciras 3.30 (BC.Game).
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.10 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.66 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (22Bet) and no 1.86 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Real Jaén or Algeciras (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.66
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Real Jaén, full-time Real Jaén
26% chance3.91fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Real Jaén vs Algeciras odds movement
Real Jaén win2.19-0.09
Draw3.20-0.10
Algeciras win3.30-0.10
Over 2.5 goals2.10-0.05
Under 2.5 goals1.66-0.01
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Real Jaén vs Algeciras prediction
Real Jaén vs Algeciras prediction, who wins and at what price
Real Jaén host Algeciras on Monday, 2 November 2026 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2, and the model has Real Jaén at 43%, the draw at 28% and Algeciras at 29%: that is the Real Jaén vs Algeciras prediction in one line.
Real Jaén are expected to score 1.36 and Algeciras 1.08, so the total line is 2.44 goals; over 2.5 lands at 44% and BTTS at 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is real Jaén or Algeciras (no draw) at 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Real Jaén have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 6 conceded, Algeciras 4 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 3.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Real Jaén vs Algeciras
On the goal lines Real Jaén vs Algeciras reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.66 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. Real Jaén score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Algeciras; Algeciras score in 66% while Real Jaén shut them out 34% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Real Jaén vs Algeciras: 1-1 (12.8%), 1-0 (11.9%) and 0-1 (9.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Real Jaén, full-time Real Jaén leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Real Jaén vs Algeciras
The grid built from 1.36 and 1.08 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Real Jaén to win43%2.19
Draw28%3.20
Algeciras to win29%3.30
Real Jaén, draw no bet59%fair 1.68
Algeciras, draw no bet41%fair 2.46
Double chance
Real Jaén or draw71%1.27
Algeciras or draw57%1.62
Real Jaén or Algeciras (no draw)72%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%2.10
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.35
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.90
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.33
Under 2.5 goals56%1.66
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.83
Not both teams to score50%1.86
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.33
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Real Jaén to score74%fair 1.35
Algeciras to score66%fair 1.52
Real Jaén clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Algeciras clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Real Jaén to win to nil31%fair 3.21
Algeciras to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
1-011.9%
0-19.4%
0-08.7%
2-18.7%
2-08.1%
Half-time / full-time
Real Jaén / Real Jaén25.6%
Draw / Draw17.2%
Algeciras / Algeciras16.8%
Draw / Real Jaén15.5%
Draw / Algeciras11.3%
Questions about Real Jaén vs Algeciras
Who will win Real Jaén vs Algeciras?
The model gives Real Jaén the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Real Jaén vs Algeciras correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Real Jaén vs Algeciras both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Real Jaén find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Algeciras in 66%.
When do Real Jaén play Algeciras?
Real Jaén vs Algeciras starts at 17:15 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.