LaLiga
Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
EspanyolHomeDLLLW
0:1Half-time 0:0
Atletico MadridAwayWWDWW182359
Espanyol winDrawAtletico Madrid win
LaLiga
Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
EspanyolHomeDLLLWAtletico MadridAwayWWDWW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.98 1.02 : 1.96
- Favourite
- 59% Atletico Madrid
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.98 | 4.12 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 2.18 | 1.69 | 2.07 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atletico Madrid to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Espanyol price at 4.98, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.12 and 1xBet have Atletico Madrid longest at 1.75.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.79 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.18 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (1xBet) and no 2.07 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
59%
Our prediction
Atletico Madrid to win
Double chanceAtletico Madrid or draw
82% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atletico Madrid, full-time Atletico Madrid
38% chance2.63fair
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid odds movement
Espanyol win4.98-0.19
Draw4.12unchanged
Atletico Madrid win1.75unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.79unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.18-0.05
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction and best bet
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction for the LaLiga on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Atletico Madrid a narrow favourite at 59%, with the draw at 23% and Espanyol at 18%.
Expected goals are 1.02 for Espanyol and 1.96 for Atletico Madrid, a total of 2.98, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is atletico Madrid to win at 59%. At 1.75 with 1xBet the market prices it at 57%, against 59% from the model.
For a safer line, atletico Madrid or draw covers 82% of outcomes at 1.23.
Over the last 5 matches Espanyol stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico Madrid show 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.79.
BTTS yes stands at 56%. Espanyol score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Atletico Madrid; Atletico Madrid score in 86% while Espanyol shut them out 14% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%, followed by 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (10%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Atletico Madrid, full-time Atletico Madrid is the top combination at 38%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market rated for Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Espanyol to win18%4.98
Draw23%4.12
Atletico Madrid to win59%1.75
Espanyol, draw no bet24%fair 4.20
Atletico Madrid, draw no bet76%fair 1.31
Double chance
Espanyol or draw42%2.25
Atletico Madrid or draw82%1.23
Espanyol or Atletico Madrid (no draw)77%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.79
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 2.5 goals43%2.18
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.69
Not both teams to score44%2.07
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.58
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Espanyol to score64%fair 1.56
Atletico Madrid to score86%fair 1.16
Espanyol clean sheet14%fair 7.09
Atletico Madrid clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Espanyol to win to nil13%fair 7.69
Atletico Madrid to win to nil33%fair 3.01
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.2%
0-110%
1-210%
0-29.8%
1-36.5%
0-36.4%
Half-time / full-time
Atletico Madrid / Atletico Madrid38%
Draw / Atletico Madrid18.1%
Draw / Draw12.5%
Espanyol / Espanyol10.6%
Draw / Espanyol7.2%
Questions about Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid
Who is favourite in Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
The model gives Atletico Madrid the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Espanyol find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Atletico Madrid in 86%.
When do Espanyol play Atletico Madrid?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.