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LaLiga Round 10 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
ValenciaHomeLDDLW
1:2Half-time 1:0
VillarrealAwayDLWWL
282646
Valencia winDrawVillarreal win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.89
1.24 : 1.65
Favourite
46%
Villarreal
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Valencia vs Villarreal

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.493.742.171.792.181.592.24Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Villarreal to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Valencia vs Villarreal are 3.49 for Valencia at 1xBet, 3.74 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.17 for Villarreal at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.79 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.18 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (1xBet) and no 2.24 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

Valencia or Villarreal (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.24 : 1.65-0.8% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Villarreal, full-time Villarreal
29% chance3.48fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair

Valencia vs Villarreal odds movement

Valencia win3.49-0.06
Draw3.74unchanged
Villarreal win2.17unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.79unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.18unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Valencia vs Villarreal prediction

Valencia vs Villarreal prediction, who wins and at what price

Valencia host Villarreal on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the LaLiga, and the model has Villarreal at 46%, the draw at 26% and Valencia at 28%: that is the Valencia vs Villarreal prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.89 in total, split 1.24 to Valencia and 1.65 to Villarreal. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Valencia vs Villarreal is valencia or Villarreal (no draw), a 74% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 1 points over the model figure.

Over the last 5 matches Valencia stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Villarreal show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Valencia vs Villarreal? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Valencia vs Villarreal reads 78% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Valencia scoring in 71% of runs and Villarreal in 81%; clean sheets come at 19% for Valencia and 29% for Villarreal.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%, followed by 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Villarreal, full-time Villarreal leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Valencia vs Villarreal

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Valencia vs Villarreal, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Valencia to win28%3.49
Draw26%3.74
Villarreal to win46%2.17
Valencia, draw no bet38%fair 2.65
Villarreal, draw no bet62%fair 1.61

Double chance

Valencia or draw54%1.81
Villarreal or draw72%1.37
Valencia or Villarreal (no draw)74%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.79
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals45%2.18
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.59
Not both teams to score41%2.24

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Valencia to score71%fair 1.41
Villarreal to score81%fair 1.24
Valencia clean sheet19%fair 5.21
Villarreal clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Valencia to win to nil18%fair 5.65
Villarreal to win to nil27%fair 3.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-29.4%
0-19.2%
0-27.6%
2-17%
1-06.9%

Half-time / full-time

Villarreal / Villarreal28.7%
Valencia / Valencia16.5%
Draw / Villarreal15.5%
Draw / Draw14%
Draw / Valencia10.3%

Questions about Valencia vs Villarreal

Who will win Valencia vs Villarreal?

The model gives Villarreal the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Valencia vs Villarreal?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Valencia vs Villarreal?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Valencia find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Villarreal in 81%.

When is Valencia vs Villarreal and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Valencia v VillarrealValencia or Villarreal (no draw), 74%
1.34Bet